Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals

$182.6K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
St. Louis Cardinals 76.5%
Chicago White Sox 23.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 6.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,000% chance of winning. Spread -1.5 follows in second place at 6,850%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 5,600%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $182.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 6.5 (7,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 6.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Spread -1.5 (6,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Spread -1.5 maintains a 6,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,850¢.
  • O/U 7.5 (5,600%): Sitting in third place with a 5,600% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -2.5 (5,400%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,050%), and 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 6.57000.0%7000¢-6900¢
2Spread -1.56850.0%$16.1K6850¢-6750¢
3O/U 7.55600.0%$9845600¢-5500¢
4Spread -2.55400.0%$1.6K5400¢-5300¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 4.55050.0%$375050¢-4950¢
61st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
71st 5 Innings Spread -1.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 3.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
101st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Extra Innings5000.0%$265000¢-4900¢
12O/U 8.54550.0%$24.7K4550¢-4450¢
13Spread -3.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
14O/U 9.53450.0%$16.2K3450¢-3350¢
15Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals1650.0%$107.7K1650¢-1550¢
16Spread -1.51200.0%$16.1K1200¢-1100¢
17Spread -2.5700.0%$1.6K700¢-600¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for September 12 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 13, 2026

  • 12:08 AM
    ZUzusu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.724138 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.58

  • 12:07 AM
    5F5f5a
    $1.23

    Bought 3 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.41

  • 12:07 AM
    5F5f5a
    $1.18

    Sold 2 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.59

  • 12:05 AM
    0X0x12076494aD2F244017D5Dd4011Aa9E52f8BE9795-1771171985131
    $2.22

    Bought 3.46875 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 at 0.64

  • 12:04 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $1.60

    Bought 5 St. Louis Cardinals for Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) at 0.32

  • 12:04 AM
    WOwoshilong
    $19.03

    Bought 59.46875 St. Louis Cardinals for Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) at 0.32

  • 12:03 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $62.00

    Bought 200 St. Louis Cardinals for Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) at 0.31

  • 12:03 AM
    ELelep222
    $5.36

    Bought 13.07 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5 at 0.41

  • 12:03 AM
    ZUzusu
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 Chicago White Sox for Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) at 0.68

  • 12:02 AM
    WOwoshilong
    $11.25

    Bought 15 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 at 0.75

  • 12:02 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $11.25

    Bought 15 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 at 0.75

  • 12:02 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $11.10

    Bought 15 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5 at 0.74

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$127.25
Volume
$11,000.00
Positions
Chicago White SoxChicago White SoxChicago White Sox+5
382
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$31.18
Volume
$2,779.21
Positions
St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis CardinalsUnder+4
LP3
lpcapital1
Event PnL
+$27.22
Volume
$1,814.68
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
744
0x74Bd…1393
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox
NM5
NM-P
Event PnL
+$6.69
Volume
$908.01
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
SN6
SnakeBall
Event PnL
+$10.87
Volume
$877.04
Positions
St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis CardinalsUnder+1
A67
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$10.33
Volume
$873.03
Positions
St. Louis Cardinals
5B8
0x5b62…1989
Event PnL
+$17.18
Volume
$852.24
Positions
St. Louis CardinalsUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals"?

As of the latest update, O/U 6.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,000% win probability, followed by Spread -1.5 at 6,850% and O/U 7.5 at 5,600%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $182.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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