Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros

$103.4K Vol
Oct 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Houston Astros 53.5%
Chicago White Sox 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,550% chance of winning. Houston Astros O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 7,000%, while Chicago White Sox O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $103.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Houston Astros O/U 2.5 (7,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Houston Astros O/U 2.5 maintains a 7,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,000¢.
  • Chicago White Sox O/U 2.5 (6,850%): Sitting in third place with a 6,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Chicago White Sox O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,150%), Houston Astros O/U 3.5 (5,650%), and O/U 7.5 (5,650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Chicago White Sox O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
2Houston Astros O/U 2.57000.0%—7000¢-6900¢
3Chicago White Sox O/U 2.56850.0%—6850¢-6750¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 3.56150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
5Houston Astros O/U 3.55650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
6O/U 7.55650.0%$10.7K5650¢-5550¢
7Chicago White Sox O/U 3.55400.0%$135400¢-5300¢
8NRFI4850.0%$1144850¢-4750¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 4.54850.0%$104850¢-4750¢
10O/U 8.54750.0%$8.7K4750¢-4650¢
11Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros4650.0%$81.1K4650¢-4550¢
12Houston Astros O/U 4.54350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
13Chicago White Sox O/U 4.54150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
141st 5 Innings O/U 5.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
15Spread -1.53650.0%$273650¢-3550¢
16O/U 9.53650.0%$6353650¢-3550¢
17Spread -1.53450.0%$273450¢-3350¢
18Chicago White Sox O/U 6.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
19Chicago White Sox O/U 5.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
201st 5 Innings Spread -1.53150.0%$63150¢-3050¢
21Houston Astros O/U 5.53150.0%—3150¢-3050¢
221st 5 Innings Spread -1.52800.0%$62800¢-2700¢
231st 5 Innings O/U 6.52700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
24Spread -2.52650.0%$1662650¢-2550¢
25Spread -2.52550.0%$1662550¢-2450¢
26Houston Astros O/U 6.52250.0%$802250¢-2150¢
27Extra Innings1050.0%$141050¢-950¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros, scheduled for September 29 at 5:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 12:02 PM
    SMsm8926523
    $6.22

    Bought 12.96 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.48

  • 12:02 PM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.77

    Bought 9 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 at 0.53

  • 11:57 AM
    WWwwweeeklk
    $5.03

    Bought 9.314815 Houston Astros for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros at 0.54

  • 11:52 AM
    0X0x74Dd33701ed49E133dF8DA1620FBb0f5336fF3c5-1774500116142
    $32.40

    Bought 60 Houston Astros for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros at 0.54

  • 11:50 AM
    ODODODOO
    $5.00

    Bought 10.638298 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros at 0.47

  • 11:31 AM
    TOtodamooon
    $20.00

    Bought 42.553192 Chicago White Sox for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros at 0.47

  • 11:22 AM
    AWAwendt913
    $13.20

    Bought 30 Under for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 at 0.44

  • 10:07 AM
    SAsajat5mm
    $41.03

    Bought 73.267856 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 at 0.56

  • 10:05 AM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $279.99

    Bought 499.99 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 at 0.56

  • 10:05 AM
    SMsm8926523
    $6.22

    Bought 11.11 Over for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 at 0.56

  • 09:23 AM
    SAsachin5868
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 Houston Astros for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros at 0.54

  • 09:09 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 Houston Astros for Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros at 0.54

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HM1
HMLSF
Event PnL
+$290.56
Volume
$57,550.52
Positions
Chicago White Sox
GM2
gmpm2
Event PnL
-$112.50
Volume
$22,500.00
Positions
Houston Astros
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$47.42
Volume
$9,484.00
Positions
Houston Astros
HI4
hi774c
Event PnL
-$32.40
Volume
$6,479.28
Positions
Houston Astros
IM5
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
-$28.10
Volume
$5,756.41
Positions
Houston Astros
FB6
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Houston Astros
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$3.26
Volume
$4,904.29
Positions
Houston AstrosUnderUnder+1
MA8
MAGATheeStallion
Event PnL
-$19.87
Volume
$3,567.01
Positions
Over

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,550% win probability, followed by Houston Astros O/U 2.5 at 7,000% and Chicago White Sox O/U 2.5 at 6,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $103.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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