Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees

$76.5K Vol
Sep 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
New York Yankees 72.5%
Colorado Rockies 27.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Extra Innings is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $76.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Extra Innings (8%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Extra Innings is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $630 in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Extra Innings8.0%$63092¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 10 at 7:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game.

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Extra Innings currently trades at 8%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 1%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -7%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Extra Innings8.0%1.0%-7.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 10, 2026

  • 11:56 AM
    ONoneheadedlebron
    $13.00

    Bought 25 Over for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 at 0.52

  • 11:56 AM
    ONoneheadedlebron
    $13.00

    Bought 25 Over for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 at 0.52

  • 11:51 AM
    JZjzy0546
    $2.50

    Bought 5.102041 Under for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 at 0.49

  • 11:50 AM
    NInigiri99
    $24.44

    Bought 47 Over for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 at 0.52

  • 11:38 AM
    JZjzy0546
    $2.50

    Bought 5.102041 Under for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 at 0.49

  • 11:37 AM
    NInigiri99
    $1.56

    Bought 3 Over for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 at 0.52

  • 11:00 AM
    BZbzglt
    $150.55

    Bought 255.167626 Under for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5 at 0.59

  • 11:00 AM
    JZjzy0546
    $2.50

    Bought 5.102041 Under for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 at 0.49

  • 11:00 AM
    NInigiri99
    $19.76

    Bought 38 Over for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 at 0.52

  • 10:56 AM
    JZjzy0546
    $2.50

    Bought 5.102041 Under for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 at 0.49

  • 10:56 AM
    NInigiri99
    $6.76

    Bought 13 Over for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 at 0.52

  • 10:50 AM
    JZjzy0546
    $2.50

    Bought 5.102041 Under for Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 at 0.49

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HO1
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$314.57
Volume
$17,200.73
Positions
OverNew York YankeesUnder
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$110.63
Volume
$15,540.00
Positions
Colorado RockiesColorado RockiesNew York Yankees+4
WA3
wapol
Event PnL
-$15.79
Volume
$10,192.76
Positions
New York YankeesNew York YankeesNew York Yankees+2
MA4
MAGATheeStallion
Event PnL
+$143.54
Volume
$8,653.19
Positions
Colorado RockiesUnder
NA5
naturalbornchiller
Event PnL
+$103.58
Volume
$5,235.87
Positions
UnderColorado Rockies
PO6
PollyPepperoni
Event PnL
+$130.21
Volume
$5,208.33
Positions
Under
387
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$9.20
Volume
$2,827.44
Positions
New York YankeesNew York YankeesNew York Yankees+2
A68
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$43.31
Volume
$2,372.30
Positions
Colorado RockiesOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees"?

As of the latest update, Extra Innings leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $76.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Extra Innings. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 8%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 1%, a negative EV Gap of -7% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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