Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays

$138.5K Vol
Oct 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Tampa Bay Rays 59.5%
Cleveland Guardians 40.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,150% chance of winning. Cleveland Guardians O/U 0.5 follows in second place at 7,450%, while Cleveland Guardians O/U 1.5 sits in third with 7,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $138.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 (8,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cleveland Guardians O/U 0.5 (7,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cleveland Guardians O/U 0.5 maintains a 7,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,450¢.
  • Cleveland Guardians O/U 1.5 (7,150%): Sitting in third place with a 7,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cleveland Guardians O/U 1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,700%), Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 (6,650%), and O/U 5.5 (6,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.58150.0%—8150¢-8050¢
2Cleveland Guardians O/U 0.57450.0%—7450¢-7350¢
3Cleveland Guardians O/U 1.57150.0%—7150¢-7050¢
41st 5 Innings O/U 2.56700.0%—6700¢-6600¢
5Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.56650.0%—6650¢-6550¢
6O/U 5.56150.0%$26150¢-6050¢
7Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
8O/U 6.55350.0%$52.7K5350¢-5250¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 3.55150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
10Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.55050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
11NRFI4250.0%$8914250¢-4150¢
12Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays4050.0%$83.4K4050¢-3950¢
13Spread -1.54050.0%$2044050¢-3950¢
14O/U 7.54050.0%$1274050¢-3950¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 4.53900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
16Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.53850.0%—3850¢-3750¢
17Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
181st 5 Innings Spread -1.53500.0%$53500¢-3400¢
19Spread -2.52950.0%—2950¢-2850¢
201st 5 Innings O/U 5.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
21Spread -1.52650.0%$2042650¢-2550¢
22Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.52500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
23Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.52500.0%$282500¢-2400¢
241st 5 Innings Spread -1.51850.0%$51850¢-1750¢
251st 5 Innings O/U 6.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
26Spread -2.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
27Extra Innings950.0%—950¢-850¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for October 12 at 8:00PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 12, 2026

  • 12:41 PM
    TOtodamooon
    $15.00

    Bought 36.585366 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.41

  • 12:38 PM
    HVhvppy
    $5.00

    Bought 8.33 Tampa Bay Rays for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.6

  • 12:38 PM
    HVhvppy
    $5.00

    Bought 8.33 Tampa Bay Rays for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.6

  • 12:31 PM
    SDSDTrading
    $10,542.70

    Bought 17571.16 Tampa Bay Rays for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.6

  • 12:31 PM
    12123123..2
    $3.00

    Bought 5 Tampa Bay Rays for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.6

  • 12:31 PM
    ABabura2025
    $168.68

    Bought 421.71 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.4

  • 12:31 PM
    ——
    $7.20

    Bought 11.803279 Tampa Bay Rays for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.61

  • 12:30 PM
    0X0x19A104df5196d8142844792afB95523057D12FA0-1779453891183
    $44.04

    Bought 72.19672 Tampa Bay Rays for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.61

  • 12:30 PM
    MTMTiCrew
    $14.76

    Bought 24.19 Tampa Bay Rays for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.61

  • 12:30 PM
    ——
    $5.30

    Sold 8.83 Tampa Bay Rays for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.6

  • 12:30 PM
    SDSDTrading
    $25,600.50

    Bought 42667.5 Tampa Bay Rays for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.6

  • 12:30 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 2.5 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.4

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
+$1.14
Volume
$13,184.17
Positions
Cleveland GuardiansOver
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$8.38
Volume
$5,770.37
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
AR3
AreteM
Event PnL
-$12.08
Volume
$2,416.67
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
DV4
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$9.26
Volume
$1,852.10
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$6.39
Volume
$1,411.54
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
DE6
DEX.3344
Event PnL
-$6.30
Volume
$1,260.00
Positions
Tampa Bay Rays
AB7
0xAbF5…1494
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
MO8
mooseborzoii
Event PnL
+$8.38
Volume
$558.51
Positions
Cleveland Guardians

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays"?

As of the latest update, Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,150% win probability, followed by Cleveland Guardians O/U 0.5 at 7,450% and Cleveland Guardians O/U 1.5 at 7,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $138.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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