Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins

$303.3K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cleveland Guardians 95.8%
Minnesota Twins 4.3%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 7.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins follows in second place at 9,655%, while Spread -1.5 sits in third with 9,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $303.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 7.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 7.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $5.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins (9,655%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins maintains a 9,655% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,655¢.
  • Spread -1.5 (9,150%): Sitting in third place with a 9,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Spread -1.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Spread -2.5 (8,400%), Spread -3.5 (6,650%), and O/U 8.5 (6,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 7.59995.0%$5.0K9995¢-9895¢
2Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins9655.0%$315.4K9655¢-9555¢
3Spread -1.59150.0%$1.2K9150¢-9050¢
4Spread -2.58400.0%$1.8K8400¢-8300¢
5Spread -3.56650.0%$3236650¢-6550¢
6O/U 8.56550.0%$9.2K6550¢-6450¢
7O/U 9.55400.0%$3.5K5400¢-5300¢
8Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Spread -5.54950.0%4950¢-4850¢
10Spread -4.52450.0%$1.7K2450¢-2350¢
11O/U 10.52400.0%2400¢-2300¢
12Spread -1.5250.0%$1.2K250¢-150¢
13Spread -2.5200.0%$1.8K200¢-100¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 13 at 2:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 13, 2026

  • 08:40 AM
    FIfizzwont
    $25.00

    Bought 46.296297 Minnesota Twins for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.54

  • 08:34 AM
    GUgust
    $1.00

    Bought 2.12766 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.47

  • 08:00 AM
    DADanielTsai
    $1.00

    Bought 2.12766 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.47

  • 06:47 AM
    282855555A48ee7ec2e67272701651BFe77034eBE8
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25926 Minnesota Twins for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.54

  • 06:47 AM
    YIyixinh
    $20.00

    Bought 37.03 Minnesota Twins for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.54

Sep 12, 2026

  • 09:41 PM
    FOForecastication2
    $5.94

    Bought 11 Minnesota Twins for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.54

  • 12:59 PM
    YIyixinh
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25 Minnesota Twins for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.54

Sep 11, 2026

  • 12:25 AM
    MIMiguel262144
    $10.56

    Bought 22 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.48

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$831.08
Volume
$5,329.10
Positions
Minnesota TwinsUnder
SE2
sentrio
Event PnL
+$531.97
Volume
$4,255.73
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$293.74
Volume
$4,012.00
Positions
Minnesota TwinsOver
8E4
0x8efa…894c
Event PnL
+$500.88
Volume
$4,007.00
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
325
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$119.34
Volume
$2,556.96
Positions
Minnesota Twins
9B6
0x9b11…5375
Event PnL
-$322.44
Volume
$1,822.00
Positions
Minnesota TwinsUnder
BR7
brendoncarson
Event PnL
+$6.64
Volume
$1,811.85
Positions
Under
A68
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
+$174.64
Volume
$1,368.51
Positions
Cleveland Guardians

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins"?

As of the latest update, O/U 7.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 9,655% and Spread -1.5 at 9,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $303.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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