Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 9,955%, while 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $180.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $972 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 (9,955%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 maintains a 9,955% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,955¢.
- 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 (9,950%), O/U 6.5 (9,050%), and O/U 7.5 (8,850%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 9995.0% | $972 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 9955.0% | — | 9955¢ | -9855¢ |
| 3 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 4 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 9950.0% | — | 9950¢ | -9850¢ |
| 5 | O/U 6.5 | 9050.0% | — | 9050¢ | -8950¢ |
| 6 | O/U 7.5 | 8850.0% | $29.2K | 8850¢ | -8750¢ |
| 7 | O/U 8.5 | 8100.0% | $52.3K | 8100¢ | -8000¢ |
| 8 | O/U 10.5 | 6800.0% | — | 6800¢ | -6700¢ |
| 9 | O/U 9.5 | 6050.0% | $16.0K | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 10 | O/U 11.5 | 6050.0% | — | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 11 | Spread -3.5 | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins | 3550.0% | $86.3K | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 13 | Spread -1.5 | 3250.0% | $4.3K | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 14 | Spread -1.5 | 2050.0% | $4.3K | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 15 | Spread -2.5 | 1850.0% | $896 | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 16 | Extra Innings | 1650.0% | $159 | 1650¢ | -1550¢ |
| 17 | Spread -2.5 | 1200.0% | $896 | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 18 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 19 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for September 12 at 4:10PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.
This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 12, 2026
- 11:14 AMELelep222$3.80
Bought 27.13 Yes for Will the game go to extra innings?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.14
- 09:45 AMDEdeepmouse$20.00
Bought 39.215687 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.51
- 08:49 AMKIKisak$1.29
Bought 3 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 at 0.43
- 08:48 AMTATattyBojangles$80.00
Bought 137.931035 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 at 0.58
- 08:44 AMBRbrendoncarson$74.10
Bought 130 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 at 0.57
- 06:57 AMNInigiri99$17.15
Bought 35 Minnesota Twins for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.49
- 06:40 AMXPxp6666$30.00
Bought 57.692308 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.52
- 06:12 AMUPUpTheBlues$9.31
Bought 19 Minnesota Twins for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.49
- 06:05 AMNInigiri99$19.60
Bought 40 Minnesota Twins for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.49
- 05:58 AMNInigiri99$69.58
Bought 142 Minnesota Twins for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.49
- 05:22 AMSUSum-1763055276585$1.28
Bought 2.61 Minnesota Twins for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins at 0.49
- 01:52 AMGHghjghghyy$1.00
Bought 1.0989 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 at 0.91
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins"?
As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 9,955% and 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $180.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
