Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals

$190.1K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Kansas City Royals 54.5%
Cleveland Guardians 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Kansas City Royals O/U 1.5 follows in second place at 7,555%, while Extra Innings sits in third with 6,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $190.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $16 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Kansas City Royals O/U 1.5 (7,555%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Kansas City Royals O/U 1.5 maintains a 7,555% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,555¢.
  • Extra Innings (6,350%): Sitting in third place with a 6,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Extra Innings, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 5.5 (5,850%), Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals (5,050%), and Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.59995.0%$169995¢-9895¢
2Kansas City Royals O/U 1.57555.0%—7555¢-7455¢
3Extra Innings6350.0%—6350¢-6250¢
4O/U 5.55850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
5Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals5050.0%$133.0K5050¢-4950¢
6Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.55000.0%$475000¢-4900¢
10Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Kansas City Royals O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Kansas City Royals O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Kansas City Royals O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Kansas City Royals O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15O/U 6.54450.0%—4450¢-4350¢
16Spread -1.52550.0%$6.8K2550¢-2450¢
17O/U 7.52550.0%$8.6K2550¢-2450¢
18O/U 8.51950.0%$24.9K1950¢-1850¢
19Spread -2.51350.0%$1.6K1350¢-1250¢
20Spread -1.51250.0%$6.8K1250¢-1150¢
21O/U 9.51100.0%$4.0K1100¢-1000¢
22Spread -2.5650.0%$1.6K650¢-550¢
231st 5 Innings O/U 6.550.0%—50¢50¢
241st 5 Innings Spread -1.540.0%—40¢60¢
251st 5 Innings Spread -1.540.0%—40¢60¢
261st 5 Innings O/U 3.55.0%$105¢95¢
271st 5 Innings O/U 4.55.0%$7795¢95¢
281st 5 Innings O/U 5.55.0%$185¢95¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 12:00 PM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $3.20

    Bought 5 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 0.64

  • 11:36 AM
    EVEVryBet4
    $4.61

    Bought 12.81 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 at 0.36

  • 11:33 AM
    0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185
    $100.00

    Bought 169.491526 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 at 0.59

  • 09:26 AM
    DVdvfb25gv
    $8.00

    Bought 14.035088 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.57

  • 09:26 AM
    HGhgvnk
    $10.12

    Bought 22.99 Kansas City Royals for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.44

  • 09:22 AM
    FGfgcdgcfv
    $7.92

    Bought 18 Kansas City Royals for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.44

  • 09:22 AM
    GHghfg58
    $10.26

    Bought 18 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.57

  • 08:35 AM
    MAmarlondichicu
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 Kansas City Royals for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.44

  • 06:51 AM
    EXexpene
    $9.12

    Bought 16 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.57

  • 06:17 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 4.545455 Kansas City Royals for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.44

  • 06:17 AM
    FUfunnyday
    $13.20

    Bought 30 Kansas City Royals for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.44

  • 05:39 AM
    ANAntonyHokins
    $2.02

    Bought 3.672728 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.55

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FE1
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$916.65
Volume
$14,010.06
Positions
Kansas City Royals
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$441.77
Volume
$10,794.00
Positions
Kansas City Royals
AN3
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$1,577.08
Volume
$6,832.32
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
DA4
dabossrealman
Event PnL
+$462.31
Volume
$5,501.56
Positions
Kansas City Royals
8E5
0x8efa…894c
Event PnL
-$925.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
ME6
mentionmarket
Event PnL
-$585.92
Volume
$3,551.00
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
SA7
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
-$533.46
Volume
$2,883.59
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
MO8
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
-$0.01
Volume
$2,535.63
Positions
Kansas City Royals

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Kansas City Royals O/U 1.5 at 7,555% and Extra Innings at 6,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $190.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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