Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Kansas City Royals O/U 5.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 12.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 13.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $302.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Kansas City Royals O/U 5.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Kansas City Royals O/U 5.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- O/U 12.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 12.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- O/U 13.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 13.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes O/U 14.5 (9,995%), Extra Innings (5,700%), and Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals (5,650%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 15.5 are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas City Royals O/U 5.5 | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 12.5 | 9995.0% | $837 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | O/U 13.5 | 9995.0% | $507 | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 4 | O/U 14.5 | 9995.0% | $6.9K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 5 | Extra Innings | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 6 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals | 5650.0% | $301.8K | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 7 | O/U 15.5 | 5250.0% | $491 | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 8 | O/U 16.5 | 3850.0% | $27 | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 9 | Spread -1.5 | 2750.0% | $8.4K | 2750¢ | -2650¢ |
| 10 | Spread -2.5 | 2050.0% | $14.4K | 2050¢ | -1950¢ |
| 11 | Spread -3.5 | 1050.0% | $8.9K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 12 | Spread -1.5 | 645.0% | $8.4K | 645¢ | -545¢ |
| 13 | Spread -2.5 | 200.0% | $14.4K | 200¢ | -100¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 25 at 7:40PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.
This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 26, 2026
- 12:13 AMSSSSL$1.00
Bought 3.333334 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.3
Sep 25, 2026
- 11:43 PM——$19.70
Bought 29.85 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 at 0.66
- 11:40 PMREREAL4$0.97
Sold 2.21 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 at 0.44
- 11:39 PMREREAL4$1.02
Bought 2.217392 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 at 0.46
- 11:38 PM00000.00$70.00
Bought 127.272728 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 at 0.55
- 11:38 PM00000.00$50.00
Bought 79.365078 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 at 0.63
- 11:38 PM00000.00$200.00
Bought 273.972603 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 at 0.73
- 11:38 PMHIHighIQDegens$33.15
Bought 65 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 0.51
- 11:37 PM0X0x87GTa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks$30.25
Bought 55 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 at 0.55
- 11:37 PMSASabsus$5.22
Bought 9 Kansas City Royals for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.58
- 11:36 PM0X0x25001$1.55
Bought 2.818182 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 at 0.55
- 11:36 PM-K-kest-$5.70
Bought 10.363637 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 at 0.55
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Cleveland Guardians vs. Kansas City Royals"?
As of the latest update, Kansas City Royals O/U 5.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 12.5 at 9,995% and O/U 13.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $302.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
