Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

$86.8K Vol
Oct 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cleveland Guardians 51.5%
Chicago White Sox 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Chicago White Sox O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,050% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 6,750%, while Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $86.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Chicago White Sox O/U 1.5 (8,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Chicago White Sox O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (6,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 6,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,750¢.
  • Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 (6,550%): Sitting in third place with a 6,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Chicago White Sox O/U 2.5 (6,250%), O/U 6.5 (5,850%), and 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Chicago White Sox O/U 1.58050.0%$4.0K8050¢-7950¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
3Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.56550.0%—6550¢-6450¢
4Chicago White Sox O/U 2.56250.0%$916250¢-6150¢
5O/U 6.55850.0%$4.0K5850¢-5750¢
61st 5 Innings O/U 3.55250.0%$225250¢-5150¢
7Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox5150.0%$41.6K5150¢-5050¢
8Cleveland Guardians O/U 3.55100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
9Chicago White Sox O/U 3.54700.0%$824700¢-4600¢
10O/U 7.54550.0%$17.9K4550¢-4450¢
11NRFI4350.0%$7.4K4350¢-4250¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 4.53900.0%$163900¢-3800¢
13Spread -1.53750.0%$2.7K3750¢-3650¢
14O/U 8.53750.0%$2.8K3750¢-3650¢
15Cleveland Guardians O/U 4.53650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
16Chicago White Sox O/U 4.53250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
17Spread -1.53050.0%$2.7K3050¢-2950¢
181st 5 Innings Spread -1.52850.0%$5002850¢-2750¢
191st 5 Innings O/U 5.52850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
201st 5 Innings Spread -1.52750.0%$5002750¢-2650¢
21Cleveland Guardians O/U 5.52650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
22Spread -2.52650.0%$2.3K2650¢-2550¢
23Chicago White Sox O/U 5.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
24Spread -2.52000.0%$2.3K2000¢-1900¢
251st 5 Innings O/U 6.51900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
26Cleveland Guardians O/U 6.51800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
27Extra Innings1150.0%$1091150¢-1050¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for October 8 at 3:33AM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

This market will resolve to "Chicago White Sox" if the Chicago White Sox win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 8, 2026

  • 01:59 PM
    ZOZoriuqAmsedel
    $1.57

    Bought 3.270834 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 01:32 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $134.37

    Bought 194.739129 Cleveland Guardians for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.69

  • 01:26 PM
    JZjzy0546
    $2.45

    Bought 5.104167 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 at 0.48

  • 01:26 PM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $954.00

    Bought 1800 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 at 0.53

  • 12:51 PM
    FIfizzwont
    $37.50

    Bought 101.351352 Cleveland Guardians for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.37

  • 12:38 PM
    ——
    $150.00

    Bought 245.901638 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 at 0.61

  • 12:30 PM
    JOjorgeadrian
    $3.30

    Bought 5.15625 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:08 PM
    DEdelmore
    $251.95

    Bought 406.378226 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 at 0.62

  • 12:03 PM
    HFhfdsuifhuioeahdfei
    $2.00

    Bought 5.128206 Under for Chicago White Sox Team Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.39

  • 11:57 AM
    SHShadyyym
    $25.58

    Sold 41.25 Over for Chicago White Sox Team Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.62

  • 11:26 AM
    FOForecastication2
    $16.50

    Bought 55 Chicago White Sox for Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) at 0.3

  • 10:29 AM
    ENEnchilado
    $5.00

    Bought 9.615385 Cleveland Guardians for Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MO1
monkeymashingkeyboard
Event PnL
+$2.34
Volume
$23,243.54
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
NS2
NS13
Event PnL
-$58.44
Volume
$11,690.59
Positions
Chicago White Sox
NI3
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$96.02
Volume
$8,280.00
Positions
NoChicago White SoxCleveland Guardians
664
0x661f…098a
Event PnL
+$48.18
Volume
$6,310.66
Positions
Yes
SB5
sbsigner
Event PnL
-$17.77
Volume
$3,553.84
Positions
Chicago White Sox
026
0x021C…0808
Event PnL
-$13.00
Volume
$2,600.00
Positions
Chicago White Sox
EV7
EVhunter69
Event PnL
-$11.02
Volume
$2,204.08
Positions
Chicago White Sox
AB8
abura2025
Event PnL
+$6.48
Volume
$1,296.53
Positions
Chicago White Sox

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox"?

As of the latest update, Chicago White Sox O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,050% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 6,750% and Cleveland Guardians O/U 2.5 at 6,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $86.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started