Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles

$157.7K Vol
Sep 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cleveland Guardians 97.3%
Baltimore Orioles 2.8%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 11.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 12.5 follows in second place at 9,955%, while O/U 13.5 sits in third with 9,900%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $157.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 11.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 11.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $264 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 12.5 (9,955%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 12.5 maintains a 9,955% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,955¢.
  • O/U 13.5 (9,900%): Sitting in third place with a 9,900% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 13.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles (9,450%), Spread -1.5 (8,750%), and Spread -2.5 (7,750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 14.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 11.59995.0%$2649995¢-9895¢
2O/U 12.59955.0%$2469955¢-9855¢
3O/U 13.59900.0%$2.2K9900¢-9800¢
4Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles9450.0%$119.4K9450¢-9350¢
5Spread -1.58750.0%$4248750¢-8650¢
6Spread -2.57750.0%$2.0K7750¢-7650¢
7O/U 14.57700.0%$637700¢-7600¢
8Spread -3.55750.0%$8565750¢-5650¢
9Extra Innings5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Spread -6.54550.0%4550¢-4450¢
11Spread -4.52650.0%$42650¢-2550¢
12Spread -5.51350.0%$8821350¢-1250¢
13Spread -1.5210.0%$424210¢-110¢
14Spread -2.550.0%$2.0K50¢50¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 8 at 6:35PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 8, 2026

  • 11:19 PM
    1M1MillionInc
    $1.00

    Bought 1.190475 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.84

  • 11:19 PM
    5F5f5a
    $2.08

    Sold 13 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.16

  • 11:19 PM
    5F5f5a
    $26.04

    Bought 31 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.84

  • 11:19 PM
    PUpups10
    $1.00

    Bought 1.190475 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.84

  • 11:19 PM
    USUser7429
    $35.38

    Bought 42.119043 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.84

  • 11:19 PM
    ZUzusu
    $1.50

    Bought 1.666667 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.9

  • 11:18 PM
    IDiDarkPro0
    $3.96

    Bought 4 Cleveland Guardians for Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5) at 0.99

  • 11:16 PM
    FLFlaznorp
    $3.23

    Bought 11.962963 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 at 0.27

  • 11:13 PM
    PEpengu-n
    $1.50

    Bought 6 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.25

  • 11:12 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $3.95

    Bought 5.129869 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 at 0.77

  • 11:08 PM
    0X0x8c9203b3766a9406D2eF1A7C723fdd2c8DD47438-1779127997740
    $3.16

    Sold 3.63 Over for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.87

  • 11:07 PM
    WRWreckedBag
    $1.05

    Bought 9.59 Under for Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 at 0.11

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SD1
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$152.72
Volume
$30,538.87
Positions
Cleveland Guardians
322
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$100.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
FE3
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$98.47
Volume
$11,840.48
Positions
Under
AN4
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$22.91
Volume
$8,803.57
Positions
OverBaltimore OriolesYes
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$36.02
Volume
$7,878.23
Positions
Baltimore OriolesYesBaltimore Orioles
586
0x5811…6071
Event PnL
-$4.85
Volume
$5,453.38
Positions
Baltimore OriolesOverOver+1
HO7
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
+$29.43
Volume
$5,385.15
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+1
A68
0xa697…6031
Event PnL
-$5.51
Volume
$4,416.82
Positions
OverBaltimore OriolesOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles"?

As of the latest update, O/U 11.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 12.5 at 9,955% and O/U 13.5 at 9,900%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $157.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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