Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves

$4.4M Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Atlanta Braves 68.5%
Cincinnati Reds 31.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,150% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 7,100%, while Cincinnati Reds O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,700%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $4.4M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (8,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (7,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 7,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,100¢.
  • Cincinnati Reds O/U 2.5 (6,700%): Sitting in third place with a 6,700% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Cincinnati Reds O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Cincinnati Reds O/U 1.5 (6,150%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (6,050%), and Atlanta Braves O/U 4.5 (5,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 8.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.58150.0%8150¢-8050¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.57100.0%7100¢-7000¢
3Cincinnati Reds O/U 2.56700.0%6700¢-6600¢
4Cincinnati Reds O/U 1.56150.0%6150¢-6050¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 4.56050.0%$946050¢-5950¢
6Atlanta Braves O/U 4.55900.0%$145900¢-5800¢
7O/U 8.55850.0%$71.6K5850¢-5750¢
8Atlanta Braves O/U 3.55850.0%5850¢-5750¢
9NRFI5450.0%$1.3K5450¢-5350¢
10Cincinnati Reds O/U 3.55250.0%$155250¢-5150¢
11Spread -1.54950.0%$37.2K4950¢-4850¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 5.54850.0%$604850¢-4750¢
13O/U 9.54850.0%$160.1K4850¢-4750¢
14Atlanta Braves O/U 5.54800.0%4800¢-4700¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.54300.0%$54300¢-4200¢
16Atlanta Braves O/U 7.54250.0%4250¢-4150¢
17Cincinnati Reds O/U 4.54000.0%4000¢-3900¢
18Spread -2.53950.0%$403950¢-3850¢
19O/U 10.53950.0%$2.9K3950¢-3850¢
201st 5 Innings O/U 6.53700.0%3700¢-3600¢
21Atlanta Braves O/U 6.53550.0%3550¢-3450¢
22Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves3150.0%$4.0M3150¢-3050¢
23Cincinnati Reds O/U 5.52750.0%2750¢-2650¢
24Spread -1.52550.0%$37.2K2550¢-2450¢
251st 5 Innings Spread -1.52200.0%$52200¢-2100¢
26Spread -2.51850.0%$401850¢-1750¢
27Extra Innings700.0%$14700¢-600¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for September 22 at 7:15PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 22, 2026

  • 09:58 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.90

    Bought 5.9375 Cincinnati Reds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.32

  • 09:55 PM
    UNUnknownWemby
    $30.00

    Bought 43.478261 Atlanta Braves for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.69

  • 09:54 PM
    JSJsgabriel
    $3.00

    Bought 4.347825 Atlanta Braves for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.69

  • 09:53 PM
    GAgabmlergao
    $200.00

    Sold 645.16 Cincinnati Reds for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.31

  • 09:50 PM
    GLGlikTheFill
    $4.00

    Bought 5.7971 Atlanta Braves for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.69

  • 09:48 PM
    STsteom
    $2.09

    Sold 3.08 Atlanta Braves for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.68

  • 09:45 PM
    DEDeadliestCatch
    $65.53

    Bought 94.971012 Atlanta Braves for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.69

  • 09:45 PM
    DEDeadliestCatch
    $19,329.70

    Bought 28014.06 Atlanta Braves for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.69

  • 09:44 PM
    RARaymundo007
    $2.00

    Bought 2.898551 Atlanta Braves for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.69

  • 09:44 PM
    DEDeadliestCatch
    $3,185.65

    Bought 4616.88 Atlanta Braves for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.69

  • 09:44 PM
    SOsonderz
    $10.00

    Bought 14.492754 Atlanta Braves for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.69

  • 09:40 PM
    GGGGLPL
    $73.77

    Bought 106.91 Atlanta Braves for Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves at 0.69

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KK1
kkookkoo
Event PnL
-$864.06
Volume
$57,664.16
Positions
Over
HO2
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$10.77
Volume
$13,915.74
Positions
UnderOverUnder+2
FB3
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$215.73
Volume
$13,048.23
Positions
UnderCincinnati Reds
FE4
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
-$19.13
Volume
$13,004.89
Positions
OverUnder
SD5
SDTrading
Event PnL
-$15.64
Volume
$12,237.66
Positions
Cincinnati RedsOver
FO6
forecastication4
Event PnL
+$203.05
Volume
$11,715.21
Positions
UnderCincinnati Reds
WR7
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$45.74
Volume
$9,148.52
Positions
UnderAtlanta Braves
NI8
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$2.38
Volume
$6,565.00
Positions
UnderAtlanta BravesUnder+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,150% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 7,100% and Cincinnati Reds O/U 2.5 at 6,700%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $4.4M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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