Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,500% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 7,150%, while Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 sits in third with 7,100%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $183K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 (8,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 7,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,150¢.
- Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 (7,100%): Sitting in third place with a 7,100% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Boston Red Sox O/U 2.5 (6,200%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,700%), and Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.5 (5,600%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like NRFI are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 | 8500.0% | — | 8500¢ | -8400¢ |
| 2 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | 7150.0% | — | 7150¢ | -7050¢ |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 | 7100.0% | — | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 4 | Boston Red Sox O/U 2.5 | 6200.0% | — | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 5 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | 5700.0% | — | 5700¢ | -5600¢ |
| 6 | Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.5 | 5600.0% | — | 5600¢ | -5500¢ |
| 7 | NRFI | 4850.0% | $122 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 8 | O/U 7.5 | 4750.0% | $84.1K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 9 | Boston Red Sox O/U 3.5 | 4700.0% | — | 4700¢ | -4600¢ |
| 10 | Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.5 | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 11 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | 4300.0% | $4 | 4300¢ | -4200¢ |
| 12 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | 4250.0% | $67.0K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 13 | O/U 8.5 | 4250.0% | $33.9K | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 14 | Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.5 | 4150.0% | — | 4150¢ | -4050¢ |
| 15 | Spread -1.5 | 3850.0% | $1.1K | 3850¢ | -3750¢ |
| 16 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 3600.0% | $5 | 3600¢ | -3500¢ |
| 17 | Tampa Bay Rays O/U 6.5 | 3450.0% | — | 3450¢ | -3350¢ |
| 18 | Boston Red Sox O/U 4.5 | 3400.0% | — | 3400¢ | -3300¢ |
| 19 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5 | 3250.0% | — | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 20 | O/U 9.5 | 3250.0% | $905 | 3250¢ | -3150¢ |
| 21 | Spread -1.5 | 2950.0% | $1.1K | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 22 | Spread -2.5 | 2850.0% | $134 | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 23 | Boston Red Sox O/U 5.5 | 2500.0% | — | 2500¢ | -2400¢ |
| 24 | 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | 2300.0% | — | 2300¢ | -2200¢ |
| 25 | 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 | 2150.0% | $5 | 2150¢ | -2050¢ |
| 26 | Spread -2.5 | 2100.0% | $134 | 2100¢ | -2000¢ |
| 27 | Extra Innings | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
Result Rules
In the upcoming MLB game between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for September 20 at 1:40PM ET:
This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game.
This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 20, 2026
- 11:16 AMMEmercury777$320.00
Bought 1000 Boston Red Sox for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) at 0.32
- 11:14 AMMEmercury777$484.50
Bought 850 Over for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.57
- 11:12 AM0X0xc92CA3e01ad489f732550B0912991d7beFFb6f15-1770260769185$100.00
Bought 175.438597 Over for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.57
- 10:59 AMMEmercury777$53.69
Bought 95.87 Over for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 at 0.56
- 09:54 AMBZbzglt$150.00
Bought 258.62069 Tampa Bay Rays for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.58
- 09:54 AMBZbzglt$150.00
Bought 258.62069 Tampa Bay Rays for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.58
- 09:52 AMFVfvckjumpjanes$20.00
Bought 34.482759 Tampa Bay Rays for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.58
- 09:40 AM0X0xb43e8032DA38c493878d0cE2BaA56da356B78200-1781110560945$32.81
Bought 76.3 Boston Red Sox for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.43
- 09:20 AMYOYosooooooo$2.00
Bought 3.448276 Tampa Bay Rays for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.58
- 09:10 AMYEyeawn$20.00
Bought 46.511628 Boston Red Sox for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 0.43
- 09:04 AMNInigiri99$16.43
Bought 31 Under for Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 at 0.53
- 08:54 AMMOmooseborzoi$23.40
Bought 30 Tampa Bay Rays for Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) at 0.78
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays"?
As of the latest update, Boston Red Sox O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,500% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 7,150% and Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5 at 7,100%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $183K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
