Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

$1M Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Baltimore Orioles 97.4%
New York Yankees 2.6%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 6.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 5.5 follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 7.5 sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $1M, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 6.5 (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 6.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $58.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 5.5 (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 5.5 maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 7.5 (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 7.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 8.5 (9,995%), 1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5 (9,945%), and Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees (9,875%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Spread -2.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 6.59995.0%$58.4K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 5.59995.0%$14.2K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 7.59995.0%$18.2K9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 8.59995.0%$159995¢-9895¢
51st 5 Innings Spread -1.59945.0%—9945¢-9845¢
6Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees9875.0%$796.5K9875¢-9775¢
7Spread -2.59750.0%$4949750¢-9650¢
8Spread -1.59740.0%$16.0K9740¢-9640¢
9Spread -5.58750.0%$1.7K8750¢-8650¢
10Spread -6.57450.0%$2.0K7450¢-7350¢
11O/U 12.56000.0%$46000¢-5900¢
12O/U 11.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
13Spread -7.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
14Spread -8.55400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
161st 5 Innings O/U 3.55000.0%$985000¢-4900¢
171st 5 Innings O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
181st 5 Innings O/U 5.55000.0%$565000¢-4900¢
191st 5 Innings O/U 6.55000.0%$665000¢-4900¢
20Extra Innings5000.0%$75000¢-4900¢
21Baltimore Orioles O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Baltimore Orioles O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Baltimore Orioles O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Baltimore Orioles O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Baltimore Orioles O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26New York Yankees O/U 1.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27New York Yankees O/U 2.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28New York Yankees O/U 3.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29New York Yankees O/U 4.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30New York Yankees O/U 5.55000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Spread -3.55000.0%$295000¢-4900¢
32O/U 10.54950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
33Spread -2.5965.0%$494965¢-865¢
34Spread -1.5200.0%$16.0K200¢-100¢
351st 5 Innings Spread -1.555.0%—55¢45¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 25 at 7:05PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game.

This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 25, 2026

  • 09:56 PM
    HOhorse729
    $128.70

    Bought 130 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 0.99

  • 09:56 PM
    HOhorse729
    $130.00

    Bought 130 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 1

  • 09:56 PM
    HOhorse729
    $130.00

    Bought 130 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 1

  • 09:56 PM
    HOhorse729
    $130.00

    Bought 130 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 1

  • 09:56 PM
    HOhorse729
    $130.00

    Bought 130 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 1

  • 09:56 PM
    HOhorse729
    $130.00

    Bought 130 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 1

  • 09:56 PM
    HOhorse729
    $130.00

    Bought 130 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 1

  • 09:56 PM
    HOhorse729
    $130.00

    Bought 130 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 1

  • 09:56 PM
    HOhorse729
    $130.00

    Bought 130 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 1

  • 09:56 PM
    HOhorse729
    $130.00

    Bought 130 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 1

  • 09:55 PM
    LOlocksnation
    $411.59

    Sold 419.99 Baltimore Orioles for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 0.98

  • 09:55 PM
    ——
    $0.40

    Sold 40.49 New York Yankees for Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees at 0.01

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SA1
Sassy-Bucket
Event PnL
-$111,959.65
Volume
$254,038.79
Positions
New York Yankees
MO2
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$3.44
Volume
$188,206.60
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
MA3
maz26
Event PnL
+$26,543.75
Volume
$62,400.12
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
WR4
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
+$21,838.83
Volume
$41,153.79
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
KK5
kkookkoo
Event PnL
+$14,676.41
Volume
$33,718.72
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
FE6
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$5,482.44
Volume
$28,981.60
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
BE7
beet420
Event PnL
+$12,011.14
Volume
$26,991.26
Positions
Baltimore Orioles
HE8
0xheavy888
Event PnL
-$10,237.77
Volume
$23,267.46
Positions
New York Yankees

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees"?

As of the latest update, O/U 6.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 5.5 at 9,995% and O/U 7.5 at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $1M, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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