Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins

$88.4K Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Atlanta Braves 51.5%
Miami Marlins 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Miami Marlins O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,200% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 7,350%, while Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 sits in third with 6,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $88.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Miami Marlins O/U 1.5 (8,200%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Miami Marlins O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,200¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 7,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,350¢.
  • Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 (6,950%): Sitting in third place with a 6,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Miami Marlins O/U 2.5 (6,750%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (5,950%), and Atlanta Braves O/U 3.5 (5,600%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 7.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Miami Marlins O/U 1.58200.0%—8200¢-8100¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.57350.0%—7350¢-7250¢
3Atlanta Braves O/U 2.56950.0%—6950¢-6850¢
4Miami Marlins O/U 2.56750.0%—6750¢-6650¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 3.55950.0%—5950¢-5850¢
6Atlanta Braves O/U 3.55600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
7O/U 7.55350.0%$5.8K5350¢-5250¢
8Miami Marlins O/U 3.55200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
9Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins5150.0%$28.1K5150¢-5050¢
10NRFI4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
11O/U 8.54650.0%$51.0K4650¢-4550¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 4.54650.0%$504650¢-4550¢
13Atlanta Braves O/U 4.54250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
14Spread -1.53850.0%$1323850¢-3750¢
15Miami Marlins O/U 4.53800.0%—3800¢-3700¢
16O/U 9.53550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
171st 5 Innings O/U 5.53450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
18Atlanta Braves O/U 5.53300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
19Spread -1.53050.0%$1323050¢-2950¢
20Spread -2.52850.0%$3322850¢-2750¢
211st 5 Innings Spread -1.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
221st 5 Innings Spread -1.52800.0%—2800¢-2700¢
23Miami Marlins O/U 5.52750.0%—2750¢-2650¢
241st 5 Innings O/U 6.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
25Atlanta Braves O/U 6.52400.0%—2400¢-2300¢
26Spread -2.52050.0%$3322050¢-1950¢
27Extra Innings950.0%—950¢-850¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Miami Marlins, scheduled for September 25 at 7:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game.

This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 25, 2026

  • 09:41 PM
    TITimPenis
    $2.96

    Bought 5.692308 Atlanta Braves for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.52

  • 09:32 PM
    0X0x55D
    $1.00

    Bought 1.923077 Atlanta Braves for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.52

  • 09:18 PM
    JAjade04
    $6.00

    Bought 12.244898 Miami Marlins for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.49

  • 09:12 PM
    CUcurrybrother
    $3.00

    Bought 6.122449 Miami Marlins for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.49

  • 09:11 PM
    SBsbsigner
    $15.17

    Bought 29.17 Atlanta Braves for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.52

  • 09:09 PM
    JOJobear2
    $4.95

    Bought 10.102041 Miami Marlins for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.49

  • 09:09 PM
    GIGiannisAntetokounmpo
    $1.50

    Bought 3.061225 Miami Marlins for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.49

  • 08:59 PM
    STStami1
    $60.74

    Bought 116.807693 Atlanta Braves for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.52

  • 08:52 PM
    AAaaronkozinets
    $101.40

    Bought 195 Atlanta Braves for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.52

  • 08:44 PM
    3M3monthgoal
    $156.00

    Bought 300 Atlanta Braves for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.52

  • 08:23 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $1.08

    Bought 2.076922 Atlanta Braves for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.52

  • 08:20 PM
    BIbillye2025
    $4.99

    Bought 9.596154 Atlanta Braves for Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SD1
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$318.37
Volume
$21,223.08
Positions
Miami Marlins
322
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$235.52
Volume
$15,701.34
Positions
Atlanta Braves
FA3
FaroeseNationalist
Event PnL
-$37.50
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
Atlanta Braves
DV4
dv-pm
Event PnL
-$12.00
Volume
$2,400.75
Positions
Atlanta Braves
A05
0xa0f2…1848
Event PnL
-$16.05
Volume
$1,070.00
Positions
Atlanta Braves
5B6
0x5b62…1989
Event PnL
+$3.64
Volume
$728.27
Positions
Miami Marlins
ON7
oneheadedlebron
Event PnL
-$0.69
Volume
$678.87
Positions
Miami Marlins
588
0x5811…6071
Event PnL
+$5.30
Volume
$603.20
Positions
Miami Marlins

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins"?

As of the latest update, Miami Marlins O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,200% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 7,350% and Atlanta Braves O/U 2.5 at 6,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $88.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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