Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres

$145.5K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Arizona Diamondbacks 57.5%
San Diego Padres 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,800% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 follows in second place at 7,550%, while Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 2.5 sits in third with 7,250%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $145.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 (7,800%): Currently commanding the highest probability, San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,800¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (7,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 maintains a 7,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,550¢.
  • Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 2.5 (7,250%): Sitting in third place with a 7,250% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 2.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes San Diego Padres O/U 2.5 (6,250%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,200%), and Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 3.5 (5,900%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1San Diego Padres O/U 1.57800.0%—7800¢-7700¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 2.57550.0%—7550¢-7450¢
3Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 2.57250.0%—7250¢-7150¢
4San Diego Padres O/U 2.56250.0%—6250¢-6150¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 3.56200.0%—6200¢-6100¢
6Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 3.55900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
7Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres5850.0%$140.6K5850¢-5750¢
8O/U 7.55350.0%$2635350¢-5250¢
91st 5 Innings O/U 4.54900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
10NRFI4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
11San Diego Padres O/U 3.54800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
12O/U 8.54550.0%$2734550¢-4450¢
13Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 4.54550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
14Spread -1.54450.0%$64450¢-4350¢
151st 5 Innings O/U 5.53700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
16O/U 9.53550.0%$53550¢-3450¢
17San Diego Padres O/U 4.53500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
18Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 5.53400.0%—3400¢-3300¢
191st 5 Innings Spread -1.53350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
20Spread -2.53350.0%$1923350¢-3250¢
21Spread -1.52650.0%$62650¢-2550¢
221st 5 Innings O/U 6.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
23Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 6.52550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
241st 5 Innings Spread -1.52450.0%—2450¢-2350¢
25San Diego Padres O/U 5.52150.0%—2150¢-2050¢
26Spread -2.51750.0%$1921750¢-1650¢
27Extra Innings950.0%—950¢-850¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 27 at 3:10PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 10:05 AM
    FHfhjghkj
    $12.65

    Bought 23 Arizona Diamondbacks for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.55

  • 10:04 AM
    KJkjh25152
    $10.58

    Bought 23 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.46

  • 10:02 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $38.47

    Bought 83.62 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.46

  • 09:57 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $19.00

    Bought 41.3 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.46

  • 09:28 AM
    MAmanuel9009
    $24.75

    Sold 54.99 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.45

  • 09:21 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.63

    Bought 10.07 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.46

  • 08:53 AM
    GVgvhbjn
    $7.36

    Bought 16 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.46

  • 08:53 AM
    VJvjugfg
    $8.80

    Bought 16 Arizona Diamondbacks for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.55

  • 08:29 AM
    RIRicardoRoberto
    $2.00

    Bought 4.347827 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.46

  • 08:22 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $72.30

    Bought 157.17 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.46

  • 07:55 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $9.27

    Bought 20.15 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.46

  • 07:47 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $5.56

    Bought 12.09 San Diego Padres for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SD1
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$904.85
Volume
$64,831.73
Positions
Arizona Diamondbacks
322
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$400.00
Volume
$32,000.00
Positions
San Diego Padres
IM3
imjustkenisghey
Event PnL
-$137.49
Volume
$9,166.00
Positions
San Diego Padres
KE4
keepcool
Event PnL
+$228.84
Volume
$4,171.29
Positions
San Diego Padres
AN5
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$18.61
Volume
$3,722.00
Positions
San Diego Padres
HI6
hi774c
Event PnL
-$226.28
Volume
$3,596.03
Positions
Arizona Diamondbacks
NI7
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$2.92
Volume
$3,059.00
Positions
San Diego Padres
PE8
PETE7
Event PnL
+$140.91
Volume
$2,709.00
Positions
Arizona Diamondbacks

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres"?

As of the latest update, San Diego Padres O/U 1.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,800% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 at 7,550% and Arizona Diamondbacks O/U 2.5 at 7,250%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $145.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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