Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

$186.4K Vol
Sep 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Arizona Diamondbacks 53.5%
Kansas City Royals 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,000% chance of winning. 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 follows in second place at 6,650%, while O/U 8.5 sits in third with 5,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $186.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 (8,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 (6,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 maintains a 6,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,650¢.
  • O/U 8.5 (5,650%): Sitting in third place with a 5,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 8.5, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals (5,350%), 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 (5,300%), and NRFI (5,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 9.5 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
11st 5 Innings O/U 2.58000.0%8000¢-7900¢
21st 5 Innings O/U 3.56650.0%6650¢-6550¢
3O/U 8.55650.0%$5285650¢-5550¢
4Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals5350.0%$180.7K5350¢-5250¢
51st 5 Innings O/U 4.55300.0%5300¢-5200¢
6NRFI5150.0%$515150¢-5050¢
7O/U 9.54550.0%$3.9K4550¢-4450¢
81st 5 Innings O/U 5.54150.0%$34150¢-4050¢
9Spread -1.54050.0%$754050¢-3950¢
10O/U 10.53850.0%$1.1K3850¢-3750¢
11Spread -1.53250.0%$753250¢-3150¢
121st 5 Innings O/U 6.53150.0%3150¢-3050¢
13Spread -2.53150.0%$203150¢-3050¢
141st 5 Innings Spread -1.53050.0%$423050¢-2950¢
151st 5 Innings Spread -1.53000.0%$423000¢-2900¢
16Spread -2.52200.0%$202200¢-2100¢
17Extra Innings900.0%900¢-800¢

Result Rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 8 at 7:40PM ET:

This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.

The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 8, 2026

  • 09:43 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.40

    Bought 20 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

  • 09:42 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.40

    Bought 20 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

  • 09:42 PM
    NInigiri99
    $18.80

    Bought 40 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

  • 09:40 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.40

    Bought 20 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

  • 09:40 PM
    NInigiri99
    $58.28

    Bought 124 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

  • 09:40 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.40

    Bought 20 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

  • 09:39 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.40

    Bought 20 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

  • 09:39 PM
    NInigiri99
    $19.74

    Bought 42 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

  • 09:39 PM
    NInigiri99
    $30.08

    Bought 64 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

  • 09:37 PM
    NInigiri99
    $516.53

    Bought 1099 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

  • 09:36 PM
    NInigiri99
    $18.80

    Bought 40 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

  • 09:36 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.40

    Bought 20 Kansas City Royals for Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals at 0.47

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PL1
pleaseplease123
Event PnL
+$884.99
Volume
$153,538.13
Positions
Arizona Diamondbacks
WR2
wr0ngw4yb3tt0r
Event PnL
-$223.74
Volume
$44,748.93
Positions
Kansas City Royals
073
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$103.73
Volume
$20,750.02
Positions
Kansas City Royals
324
0x32b4…3653
Event PnL
-$100.00
Volume
$20,000.00
Positions
Kansas City Royals
HO5
HomeRunHazard
Event PnL
-$0.99
Volume
$15,333.51
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsUnderUnder
VE6
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$74.91
Volume
$15,018.18
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsArizona Diamondbacks
SD7
SDTrading
Event PnL
+$37.11
Volume
$7,418.89
Positions
Arizona Diamondbacks
AN8
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$35.95
Volume
$7,358.21
Positions
Kansas City RoyalsYes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals"?

As of the latest update, 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,000% win probability, followed by 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 at 6,650% and O/U 8.5 at 5,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $186.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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