CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América - More Markets

$194.7K Vol
Sep 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 76.5%
Over 23.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 58.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 23%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $194.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (58.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 59¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $21.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (23%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 23% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 23¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score58.5%$21.3K59¢42¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half23.0%$17923¢77¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Liga MX game, scheduled for September 12 at 11:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score in First Half as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 23% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 24.6% — yielding an impressive +1.6% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score58.5%59.1%+0.6%
Both Teams to Score in First HalfBest EV23.0%24.6%+1.6%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 12, 2026

  • 09:30 PM
    NInigiri99
    $99.90

    Bought 555 CF América for Spread: CF América (-1.5) at 0.18

  • 09:20 PM
    NInigiri99
    $89.82

    Bought 499 CF América for Spread: CF América (-1.5) at 0.18

  • 09:12 PM
    NInigiri99
    $8.46

    Bought 47 CF América for Spread: CF América (-1.5) at 0.18

  • 08:57 PM
    CAcaspar1248
    $4.96

    Bought 62 Over for CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América: O/U 5.5 at 0.08

  • 08:54 PM
    CAcaspar1248
    $1.60

    Bought 20 Over for CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América: O/U 5.5 at 0.08

  • 08:54 PM
    CAcaspar1248
    $3.30

    Bought 41.25 Over for CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América: O/U 5.5 at 0.08

  • 08:44 PM
    CAcaspar1248
    $3.01

    Bought 43 Over for CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América: O/U 5.5 at 0.07

  • 08:26 PM
    NInigiri99
    $1.19

    Bought 7 CF Cruz Azul for Spread: CF Cruz Azul (-1.5) at 0.17

  • 08:10 PM
    JAjackpotjerry
    $2.30

    Bought 5.01 Under for CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América: O/U 2.5 at 0.46

  • 07:57 PM
    CAcaspar1248
    $3.44

    Bought 49.142858 Over for CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América: O/U 5.5 at 0.07

  • 07:50 PM
    10100XTrade
    $1.60

    Bought 10 Over for CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América: O/U 4.5 at 0.16

  • 07:41 PM
    CAcaspar1248
    $0.96

    Bought 13.75 Over for CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América: O/U 5.5 at 0.07

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$0.78
Volume
$2,376.46
Positions
UnderUnderNo+6
NO2
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$2.93
Volume
$2,321.44
Positions
OverOverOver
CA3
caspar1248
Event PnL
-$1.70
Volume
$490.02
Positions
Over
GO4
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$3.34
Volume
$470.65
Positions
UnderUnderCF América
UP5
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
-$0.26
Volume
$289.00
Positions
UnderOver
LE6
LeLynxMalynx
Event PnL
+$0.85
Volume
$222.00
Positions
OverUnderUnder+2
CO7
ColdMath
Event PnL
-$1.00
Volume
$200.00
Positions
UnderUnder
RO8
RocketL5
Event PnL
+$0.86
Volume
$172.41
Positions
Yes

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "CF Cruz Azul vs. CF América - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 58.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 23%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $194.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score in First Half as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 23% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 24.6% — an Expected Value gap of +1.6%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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