Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara - More Markets

$84.3K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Resolved
Probability Trend
Under 72.5%
Over 27.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 57.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $84.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (57.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 57¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.1K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score57.5%$2.1K57¢43¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Liga MX game, scheduled for October 10 at 9:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 57.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 62.9% — yielding an impressive +5.4% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV57.5%62.9%+5.4%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 10, 2026

  • 09:33 PM
    FEfercanalesg
    $5.00

    Bought 9.25926 Over for Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5 at 0.54

  • 08:54 PM
    USus391
    $10.16

    Bought 21.61 Under for Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5 at 0.47

  • 08:47 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.50

    Bought 95 CD Guadalajara for Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5) at 0.1

  • 08:47 PM
    MImickreid
    $2.85

    Bought 9.193549 Over for Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 3.5 at 0.31

  • 08:47 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.50

    Bought 95 CD Guadalajara for Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5) at 0.1

  • 08:46 PM
    NInigiri99
    $9.50

    Bought 95 CD Guadalajara for Spread: CD Guadalajara (-2.5) at 0.1

  • 08:36 PM
    DADanielWP17
    $3.00

    Bought 5.172414 Yes for Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: Both Teams to Score at 0.58

  • 07:28 PM
    TYTyrionLannister
    $1.00

    Bought 1.063816 Over for Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5 at 0.94

  • 07:07 PM
    TYTyrionLannister
    $1.00

    Bought 1.063816 Over for Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5 at 0.94

  • 07:06 PM
    TYTyrionLannister
    $1.00

    Bought 1.063816 Over for Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5 at 0.94

  • 04:55 PM
    SHSherlock168
    $19.80

    Bought 22 CD Guadalajara for Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5) at 0.9

  • 04:27 PM
    ——
    $1.05

    Bought 2.234043 Under for Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5 at 0.47

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$1,016.38
Volume
$17,230.49
Positions
UnderUnderCD Guadalajara+17
RN2
RN1
Event PnL
-$107.62
Volume
$9,393.80
Positions
OverOverUnder+4
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$508.95
Volume
$7,547.09
Positions
UnderAtlas FCOver+6
GA4
gaclfz
Event PnL
+$3,761.02
Volume
$7,056.03
Positions
Over
AN5
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
+$933.03
Volume
$3,792.18
Positions
UnderCD GuadalajaraYes
EA6
Eazy8
Event PnL
-$144.20
Volume
$3,675.10
Positions
YesOver
387
38791873984189
Event PnL
-$327.43
Volume
$2,198.15
Positions
OverOverOver+8
RO8
Rocky31
Event PnL
+$84.38
Volume
$2,088.00
Positions
NoUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 57.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $84.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 57.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 62.9% — an Expected Value gap of +5.4%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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