LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

$217.9K Vol
Sep 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Winthrop University 51.5%
Maryville University 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 Games follows in second place at 6,200%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 5,155%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $217.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $98.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 Games (6,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 Games maintains a 6,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,200¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,155%): Sitting in third place with a 5,155% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 4.5 Games (5,000%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$98.1K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games6200.0%$3.1K6200¢-6100¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon5155.0%5155¢-5055¢
4O/U 4.5 Games5000.0%$4.4K5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)5000.0%$9435000¢-4900¢
32Match Winner4950.0%$105.5K4950¢-4850¢
33Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
35Game 4 Winner4450.0%$1254450¢-4350¢
36Game 3 Winner4250.0%$1.5K4250¢-4150¢
37Game 2 Winner3750.0%$4.1K3750¢-3650¢
38Odd/Even Total Kills3400.0%3400¢-3300¢
39Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Winthrop University (+2.5)5.0%$12095¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Winthrop University and Maryville University in the North American Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Winthrop University" if Winthrop University win the match against Maryville University.

This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Winthrop University.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 10, 2026

  • 12:13 PM
    EVevelone228
    $22.40

    Sold 35 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.64

  • 12:11 PM
    EVevelone228
    $23.10

    Bought 35 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.66

  • 12:10 PM
    Q1q136084
    $32.83

    Bought 91.2 Winthrop University for LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winner at 0.36

  • 12:10 PM
    STstable-winner
    $4.20

    Bought 15 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.28

  • 12:08 PM
    Q1q136084
    $7.00

    Bought 20 Winthrop University for LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winner at 0.35

  • 12:08 PM
    Q1q136084
    $7.00

    Bought 20 Winthrop University for LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winner at 0.35

  • 12:07 PM
    ACAcario22
    $19.22

    Bought 62 Winthrop University for LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.31

  • 12:07 PM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $184.19

    Bought 287.8 Maryville University for LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winner at 0.64

  • 12:04 PM
    MOmonsterbet
    $20.00

    Bought 64.51613 Winthrop University for LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.31

  • 12:02 PM
    $1.00

    Bought 1.587302 Maryville University for LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winner at 0.63

  • 12:02 PM
    DUdumdum-bets
    $3.94

    Bought 6.25 Maryville University for LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 1 Winner at 0.63

  • 12:00 PM
    CHchrysos
    $74.88

    Bought 106.971426 Maryville University for LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.7

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NI1
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$323.13
Volume
$21,590.00
Positions
Winthrop University
692
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$58.82
Volume
$16,903.97
Positions
Maryville UniversityMaryville UniversityUnder+3
GO3
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$13.94
Volume
$9,868.58
Positions
Maryville University
NI4
Nicksypoo
Event PnL
-$26.21
Volume
$5,065.17
Positions
Winthrop UniversityWinthrop University
EX5
Excession6
Event PnL
+$75.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Maryville University
SI6
SimpleTony
Event PnL
-$15.00
Volume
$2,999.99
Positions
Winthrop University
7V7
7ViziCapitale
Event PnL
+$14.93
Volume
$2,985.71
Positions
Maryville University
IN8
InAirdropWeTrust
Event PnL
+$43.20
Volume
$2,879.72
Positions
Maryville University

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 Games at 6,200% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,155%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $217.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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