LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs

$118.6K Vol
Sep 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
JD Gaming 60.5%
Team WE 39.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,450% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 6,750%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 6,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $118.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 6,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,750¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,750%): Sitting in third place with a 6,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,750%), Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? (6,750%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,700%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7450.0%$1.2K7450¢-7350¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?6750.0%6750¢-6650¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon6700.0%6700¢-6600¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?6600.0%6600¢-6500¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?6250.0%6250¢-6150¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?6100.0%6100¢-6000¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?6100.0%6100¢-6000¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
25First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
27First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
28First Blood in Game 3?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4600.0%4600¢-4500¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4550.0%4550¢-4450¢
32Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)4100.0%$4.0K4100¢-4000¢
33Game 1 Winner4050.0%$6.6K4050¢-3950¢
34Game 2 Winner4050.0%$1504050¢-3950¢
35Game 3 Winner4050.0%$404050¢-3950¢
36Game 4 Winner3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
37Match Winner3850.0%$105.7K3850¢-3750¢
38O/U 4.5 Games3300.0%$4053300¢-3200¢
39Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
40Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
41Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
42Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
43Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
44Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
45Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
46Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
47Any Player Quadra Kill2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2000.0%2000¢-1900¢
50Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)1750.0%$4281750¢-1650¢
51Any Player Penta Kill1500.0%1500¢-1400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Team WE and JD Gaming in the LPL Regional Finals Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Team WE.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 17, 2026

  • 09:00 AM
    FOforgedinlol
    $2.95

    Bought 5 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

  • 08:26 AM
    SUsuntori
    $14.28

    Bought 24.20339 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

  • 08:24 AM
    SUsuntori
    $19.99

    Bought 47.595239 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.42

  • 07:26 AM
    PAparkjiwoo-GOODLUCK
    $1.50

    Bought 2.542373 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

  • 06:54 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.14

    Bought 2.714286 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.42

  • 06:39 AM
    LElejendsjian
    $29.40

    Bought 70 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.42

  • 05:47 AM
    VVvvccs
    $12.01

    Bought 32.45946 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.37

  • 05:46 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $3.80

    Bought 9.04762 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.42

  • 04:39 AM
    ZAZarculBot
    $3.13

    Bought 5.305085 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

  • 04:39 AM
    MAmadefuk
    $59.00

    Bought 100 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

  • 04:39 AM
    DZdzq111
    $42.00

    Bought 100 Team WE for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.42

  • 04:39 AM
    XIxiuzhifu
    $59.00

    Bought 100 JD Gaming for LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs at 0.59

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TH1
therealdragonwarrior
Event PnL
+$198.40
Volume
$23,651.98
Positions
JD Gaming
VI2
vibing123
Event PnL
+$73.96
Volume
$10,371.43
Positions
JD Gaming
DR3
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
JD Gaming
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$41.97
Volume
$9,145.61
Positions
Team WETeam WEJD Gaming
TI5
TIENWEI
Event PnL
-$107.82
Volume
$7,188.14
Positions
Team WE
SU6
suntori
Event PnL
-$72.68
Volume
$6,627.42
Positions
JD GamingTeam WEUnder
GT7
gthertert
Event PnL
+$32.55
Volume
$6,508.87
Positions
JD Gaming
ZZ8
Zzzz87
Event PnL
+$27.73
Volume
$6,119.00
Positions
JD GamingTeam WE

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,450% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,750% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $118.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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