LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs

$200.1K Vol
Sep 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 100.0%
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+1.5) follows in second place at 9,995%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 9,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $200.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $37 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+1.5) (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+1.5) maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,050%): Sitting in third place with a 9,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,050%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$379995¢-9895¢
2Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+1.5)9995.0%$1249995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
14Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%$10950¢-850¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
19Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%$10950¢-850¢
21Game 3 Winner5.0%$79.0K95¢
22Game 4 Winner5.0%$21.3K95¢
23Match Winner5.0%$47.0K95¢
24O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$16195¢
25Game Handicap: KBM (-2.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+2.5)5.0%95¢
26Game Handicap: VKS.A (-1.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+1.5)5.0%$5295¢
27Game Handicap: VKS.A (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5)5.0%95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Vivo Keyd Stars Academy and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the Circuito Desafiante Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Vivo Keyd Stars Academy" if Vivo Keyd Stars Academy win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas.

This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against Vivo Keyd Stars Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 8, 2026

  • 11:23 PM
    AMam999
    $5.12

    Sold 26.94 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.19

  • 11:23 PM
    AMam999
    $4.17

    Sold 19.84 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.21

  • 11:23 PM
    RERev0lt3
    $10.07

    Bought 43.782609 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.23

  • 11:23 PM
    POpo1yqtdotcom
    $1.05

    Bought 4.55 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.23

  • 11:23 PM
    0X0x97c7F0C750F0B2f3FaF92E26bacf431B114d41eF-1788165346612
    $1.27

    Bought 5.52174 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.23

  • 11:23 PM
    FLFlobzzBets
    $2.67

    Bought 11.608696 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.23

  • 11:23 PM
    NEnewwman
    $8.80

    Bought 44 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.2

  • 11:23 PM
    AUauto-cop
    $1.05

    Bought 4.565218 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.23

  • 11:23 PM
    PApauleta23
    $8.90

    Bought 40.454546 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.22

  • 11:22 PM
    $114.85

    Bought 140.055861 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.82

  • 11:22 PM
    0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
    $1.55

    Bought 5 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.31

  • 11:22 PM
    ROronaldooo
    $1.00

    Bought 3.225807 Vivo Keyd Stars Academy for LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 4 Winner at 0.31

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SC1
ScientificOctopus
Event PnL
-$838.95
Volume
$4,084.38
Positions
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
LU2
lucianow34
Event PnL
+$2,011.78
Volume
$4,075.12
Positions
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasVivo Keyd Stars Academy
AN3
antec
Event PnL
+$1,825.61
Volume
$2,906.85
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars AcademyVivo Keyd Stars AcademyVivo Keyd Stars Academy+2
TH4
thekingsback
Event PnL
+$21.82
Volume
$2,297.07
Positions
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasVivo Keyd Stars Academy
995
999999666544332578855667788
Event PnL
-$94.49
Volume
$2,099.99
Positions
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
AR6
arm1337
Event PnL
+$256.72
Volume
$2,097.99
Positions
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasVivo Keyd Stars Academy
SI7
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$104.50
Volume
$1,899.99
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
IN8
InAirdropWeTrust
Event PnL
+$389.48
Volume
$1,899.92
Positions
Vivo Keyd Stars Academy

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+1.5) at 9,995% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 9,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $200.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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