LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

$94.5K Vol
Sep 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Movistar KOI 54.5%
Team Vitality 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,000% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 8,000%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 7,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $94.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (8,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (8,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 8,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,000¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,950%): Sitting in third place with a 7,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 3.5 Games (7,350%), Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,500%), and Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? (5,450%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon8000.0%8000¢-7900¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon8000.0%8000¢-7900¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon7950.0%7950¢-7850¢
4O/U 3.5 Games7350.0%$1.8K7350¢-7250¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5500.0%$2.5K5500¢-5400¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5450.0%$2.4K5450¢-5350¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5350.0%$25350¢-5250¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5300.0%$2.4K5300¢-5200¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23First Blood in Game 2?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
24First Blood in Game 3?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
25First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
26Game 4 Winner4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
27Game 1 Winner4750.0%$7894750¢-4650¢
28Game 2 Winner4750.0%$154750¢-4650¢
29Game 3 Winner4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon4700.0%4700¢-4600¢
31Match Winner4550.0%$82.3K4550¢-4450¢
32Both Teams Slay a Dragon4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4050.0%4050¢-3950¢
34First Blood in Game 4?4000.0%4000¢-3900¢
35Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
37O/U 4.5 Games3450.0%$5113450¢-3350¢
38Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)3400.0%$2.6K3400¢-3300¢
39Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)3150.0%$8053150¢-3050¢
40Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
41Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
42Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
43Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
44Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
45Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
46Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1650.0%1650¢-1550¢
47Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5)1650.0%$2941650¢-1550¢
48Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1600.0%1600¢-1500¢
49Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1600.0%1600¢-1500¢
50Game Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)1250.0%$1201250¢-1150¢
51Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1200.0%1200¢-1100¢
52Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1200.0%1200¢-1100¢
53Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1200.0%1200¢-1100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Team Vitality and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against Movistar KOI.

This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Team Vitality.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 12, 2026

  • 12:31 PM
    LELeslielin
    $42.31

    Sold 66.11 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:30 PM
    KUkurtz180
    $15.00

    Bought 44.117648 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) at 0.34

  • 12:27 PM
    LELeslielin
    $14.30

    Bought 22 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 12:25 PM
    KUkurtz180
    $2.50

    Bought 16.666667 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) at 0.15

  • 12:23 PM
    0X0xFce862243C0612E0bac32a3897E002fa91Fe2686-1777287554404
    $44.91

    Bought 52.837207 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) at 0.85

  • 11:59 AM
    QUQuorkie
    $5.85

    Bought 9 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 11:47 AM
    $21.75

    Bought 25.588233 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) at 0.85

  • 11:23 AM
    JEJellyfox
    $8.24

    Bought 14.99 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? at 0.55

  • 11:23 AM
    JEJellyfox
    $8.40

    Bought 15 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.56

  • 11:23 AM
    JEJellyfox
    $8.10

    Bought 15 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.54

  • 11:07 AM
    0X0x01336275E88E0203A7a61A0C9D1f5586416F57C6-1774816226589
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777778 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5) at 0.36

  • 11:00 AM
    XIxipsetillo
    $3.52

    Bought 20.705883 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: MKOI (-2.5) vs Team Vitality (+2.5) at 0.17

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FO1
FORTNITEMASTER888
Event PnL
+$170.54
Volume
$23,646.93
Positions
Movistar KOI
BI2
bit754
Event PnL
-$493.25
Volume
$22,850.56
Positions
Team Vitality
KI3
kingflop
Event PnL
-$29.43
Volume
$12,251.37
Positions
Team Vitality
DR4
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$215.90
Volume
$10,075.14
Positions
Movistar KOI
VI5
vibing123
Event PnL
+$292.22
Volume
$9,242.52
Positions
Movistar KOI
BY6
BYTasb001
Event PnL
-$95.74
Volume
$6,382.98
Positions
Team Vitality
BA7
Baosen0412
Event PnL
-$181.94
Volume
$6,259.48
Positions
Team Vitality
LE8
Leslielin
Event PnL
-$27.41
Volume
$5,483.08
Positions
Team Vitality

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,000% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 8,000% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $94.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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