LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

$100K Vol
Oct 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
TLN Pirates 84.5%
Bushido Wildcats 15.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,450% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 7,550%, while Game 1 Winner sits in third with 7,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $100K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (8,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $26.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (7,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 7,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,550¢.
  • Game 1 Winner (7,450%): Sitting in third place with a 7,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 3 Winner (7,450%), Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5) (7,150%), and O/U 3.5 Games (5,450%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner8450.0%$26.0K8450¢-8350¢
2Game 2 Winner7550.0%$5.9K7550¢-7450¢
3Game 1 Winner7450.0%$10.3K7450¢-7350¢
4Game 3 Winner7450.0%$4.9K7450¢-7350¢
5Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)7150.0%$8.9K7150¢-7050¢
6O/U 3.5 Games5450.0%$11.4K5450¢-5350¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
38Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
39Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
40First Blood in Game 4?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
41Game Handicap: TLNP (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5)4150.0%$26.2K4150¢-4050¢
42Game 4 Winner3500.0%$1023500¢-3400¢
43O/U 4.5 Games2150.0%$6.3K2150¢-2050¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round of 16 match between TLN Pirates and Bushido Wildcats in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win the match against Bushido Wildcats.

This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win the match against TLN Pirates.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 6, 2026

  • 01:16 PM
    QFqfwdsd1
    $60.76

    Bought 98 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 Winner at 0.62

  • 01:11 PM
    INInkedman
    $6.65

    Bought 44.333334 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.15

  • 01:08 PM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $2.64

    Bought 4 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 Winner at 0.66

  • 01:05 PM
    TItinashi1199zz
    $1.93

    Bought 2.53947 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner at 0.76

  • 12:53 PM
    MFmfernandes
    $12.21

    Bought 48.84 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 Winner at 0.25

  • 12:40 PM
    DIDidYKH
    $10.00

    Bought 13.157895 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner at 0.76

  • 12:40 PM
    DIDidYKH
    $15.00

    Bought 17.647053 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.85

  • 12:39 PM
    SKskadii
    $24.15

    Bought 161 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.15

  • 12:39 PM
    SKskadii
    $27.37

    Bought 161 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.17

  • 12:39 PM
    SNsn-ow
    $1.00

    Bought 6.25 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.16

  • 12:39 PM
    SKskadii
    $25.76

    Bought 161 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.16

  • 12:39 PM
    SKskadii
    $2.20

    Bought 13.75 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.16

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$95.60
Volume
$10,301.99
Positions
TLN PiratesTLN PiratesUnder+1
GO2
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
-$7.26
Volume
$4,898.13
Positions
TLN PiratesTLN PiratesUnder
AM3
am100
Event PnL
-$63.24
Volume
$2,771.57
Positions
UnderTLN Pirates
GO4
GOLDCRYPT12
Event PnL
+$25.32
Volume
$2,526.32
Positions
OverBushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats
BR5
bravewarriorrrrrr
Event PnL
-$22.76
Volume
$2,517.55
Positions
TLN PiratesUnder
OC6
ocss
Event PnL
-$37.50
Volume
$2,500.00
Positions
TLN Pirates
PU7
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$84.60
Volume
$2,417.00
Positions
Bushido Wildcats
LO8
loldot
Event PnL
-$67.51
Volume
$2,328.12
Positions
Bushido WildcatsOverTLN Pirates+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,450% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 7,550% and Game 1 Winner at 7,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $100K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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