LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$116.2K Vol
Oct 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
LYON 55.5%
Team Liquid 44.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. Odd/Even Total Kills follows in second place at 6,050%, while Odd/Even Total Kills sits in third with 5,750%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $116.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (6,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Odd/Even Total Kills maintains a 6,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,050¢.
  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,750%): Sitting in third place with a 5,750% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Odd/Even Total Kills, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (5,750%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,600%), and Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? (5,600%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7350.0%$1.3K7350¢-7250¢
2Odd/Even Total Kills6050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
3Odd/Even Total Kills5750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5750.0%—5750¢-5650¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills5600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
7Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
29First Blood in Game 4?4950.0%$854950¢-4850¢
30First Blood in Game 1?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
31First Blood in Game 3?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
32First Blood in Game 2?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?4900.0%$9.8K4900¢-4800¢
34Game 1 Winner4850.0%$9894850¢-4750¢
35Game 2 Winner4850.0%$54850¢-4750¢
36Game 3 Winner4850.0%$304850¢-4750¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
38Game 4 Winner4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
39Odd/Even Total Kills4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
40Odd/Even Total Kills4650.0%—4650¢-4550¢
41Match Winner4450.0%$88.5K4450¢-4350¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?4150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?4100.0%$64100¢-4000¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?4050.0%—4050¢-3950¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?3950.0%$12.0K3950¢-3850¢
47Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)3700.0%$3.0K3700¢-3600¢
48O/U 4.5 Games3550.0%$4163550¢-3450¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
50Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
51Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?3200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
52Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
53Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
54Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
55Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)1650.0%$1001650¢-1550¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Team Liquid and LYON in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against LYON.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Team Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 4, 2026

  • 01:10 PM
    0X0xkirk
    $27.50

    Bought 50 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 01:03 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.85

    Bought 5.181817 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:46 PM
    ATathadi2
    $16.55

    Bought 30.090908 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:46 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $140.95

    Bought 306.413044 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.46

  • 12:43 PM
    LTlthasd
    $17.50

    Bought 50 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) at 0.35

  • 12:42 PM
    LTlthasd
    $55.00

    Bought 100 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:40 PM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $58.67

    Bought 81.48 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.72

  • 12:36 PM
    LTlthasd
    $18.00

    Bought 100 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) at 0.18

  • 12:17 PM
    ATathadi2
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:17 PM
    MTMTiCrew
    $6.53

    Sold 12.09 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.54

  • 12:17 PM
    SWswitch00
    $100.00

    Bought 181.818182 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

  • 12:01 PM
    ATathadi2
    $8.49

    Bought 15.436364 LYON for LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.55

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,350% win probability, followed by Odd/Even Total Kills at 6,050% and Odd/Even Total Kills at 5,750%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $116.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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