
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,600% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 7,600%, while O/U 3.5 Games sits in third with 7,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $178.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 7,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,600¢.
- O/U 3.5 Games (7,350%): Sitting in third place with a 7,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 3.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 7600.0% | — | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 7600.0% | — | 7600¢ | -7500¢ |
| 3 | O/U 3.5 Games | 7350.0% | $5.7K | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 4 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | $80 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | $5 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | $80 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Game 1 Winner | 4850.0% | $901 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 20 | Game 2 Winner | 4850.0% | $20 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 21 | Game 3 Winner | 4850.0% | $26 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 22 | Game 4 Winner | 4850.0% | $3 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Penta Kill | 4750.0% | $80 | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 24 | Match Winner | 4650.0% | $147.9K | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 25 | O/U 4.5 Games | 3650.0% | $1.8K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 26 | Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) | 3350.0% | $20.7K | 3350¢ | -3250¢ |
| 27 | Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5) | 1600.0% | $1.1K | 1600¢ | -1500¢ |
| 28 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1550.0% | $5 | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 29 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1550.0% | $5 | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 30 | Any Player Penta Kill | 1300.0% | $80 | 1300¢ | -1200¢ |
| 31 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 1000.0% | — | 1000¢ | -900¢ |
| 32 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 33 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 900.0% | — | 900¢ | -800¢ |
| 34 | Any Player Penta Kill | 400.0% | $80 | 400¢ | -300¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between Top Esports and Invictus Gaming in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Invictus Gaming.
This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Top Esports.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Nov 2, 2026
- 12:45 PM0X0xDf45C4D9f9745F44BEe5e238Aa03dfD0385299c2-1778935479888$4.90
Bought 10 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.49
- 12:44 PM——$1.50
Bought 3.061225 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.49
- 12:44 PM0X0x895Cd50c253A866fc82B7e266808d875ae20D026-1779608208985$106.96
Bought 205.692308 Invictus Gaming for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.52
- 12:42 PMLLllllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlI$510.00
Bought 1500 Invictus Gaming for Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) at 0.34
- 12:40 PMISiSeeyoy$93.23
Bought 202.67 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46
- 12:16 PM0X0x2A5e009795208b1c279895F7f17736d4C0BC9629-1777771701618$6.00
Bought 12.244898 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.49
- 12:14 PM-G-Guapo--$1,135.26
Bought 3338.99 Invictus Gaming for Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) at 0.34
- 12:06 PMJXjxfei$1.00
Bought 1.818182 Invictus Gaming for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.55
- 11:49 AMPRProunemployed$6.70
Bought 10 Top Esports for Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) at 0.67
- 11:42 AMDEDest1n1-161$2.00
Bought 4.347827 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46
- 11:39 AMHUhunter-bobby$5.00
Bought 10.869566 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46
- 11:38 AM0X0x21529DE2D0f225b5DFeEA521901b7EA03D15B77f-1785139706847$1.00
Bought 2.173914 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,600% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,600% and O/U 3.5 Games at 7,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $178.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
