LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

$178.4K Vol
Nov 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Invictus Gaming 53.5%
Top Esports 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,600% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 7,600%, while O/U 3.5 Games sits in third with 7,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $178.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,600%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,600¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 7,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,600¢.
  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,350%): Sitting in third place with a 7,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 3.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon7600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7600.0%—7600¢-7500¢
3O/U 3.5 Games7350.0%$5.7K7350¢-7250¢
4Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$805000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$805000¢-4900¢
19Game 1 Winner4850.0%$9014850¢-4750¢
20Game 2 Winner4850.0%$204850¢-4750¢
21Game 3 Winner4850.0%$264850¢-4750¢
22Game 4 Winner4850.0%$34850¢-4750¢
23Any Player Penta Kill4750.0%$804750¢-4650¢
24Match Winner4650.0%$147.9K4650¢-4550¢
25O/U 4.5 Games3650.0%$1.8K3650¢-3550¢
26Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)3350.0%$20.7K3350¢-3250¢
27Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)1600.0%$1.1K1600¢-1500¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1550.0%$51550¢-1450¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1550.0%$51550¢-1450¢
30Any Player Penta Kill1300.0%$801300¢-1200¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors900.0%—900¢-800¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors900.0%—900¢-800¢
34Any Player Penta Kill400.0%$80400¢-300¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between Top Esports and Invictus Gaming in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Invictus Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Top Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 2, 2026

  • 12:45 PM
    0X0xDf45C4D9f9745F44BEe5e238Aa03dfD0385299c2-1778935479888
    $4.90

    Bought 10 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.49

  • 12:44 PM
    ——
    $1.50

    Bought 3.061225 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.49

  • 12:44 PM
    0X0x895Cd50c253A866fc82B7e266808d875ae20D026-1779608208985
    $106.96

    Bought 205.692308 Invictus Gaming for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

  • 12:42 PM
    LLllllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlIllllllIIIIIIlI
    $510.00

    Bought 1500 Invictus Gaming for Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) at 0.34

  • 12:40 PM
    ISiSeeyoy
    $93.23

    Bought 202.67 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46

  • 12:16 PM
    0X0x2A5e009795208b1c279895F7f17736d4C0BC9629-1777771701618
    $6.00

    Bought 12.244898 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.49

  • 12:14 PM
    -G-Guapo--
    $1,135.26

    Bought 3338.99 Invictus Gaming for Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) at 0.34

  • 12:06 PM
    JXjxfei
    $1.00

    Bought 1.818182 Invictus Gaming for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.55

  • 11:49 AM
    PRProunemployed
    $6.70

    Bought 10 Top Esports for Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 11:42 AM
    DEDest1n1-161
    $2.00

    Bought 4.347827 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46

  • 11:39 AM
    HUhunter-bobby
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869566 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46

  • 11:38 AM
    0X0x21529DE2D0f225b5DFeEA521901b7EA03D15B77f-1785139706847
    $1.00

    Bought 2.173914 Top Esports for LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

JA1
jakepaulthegoat2008
Event PnL
+$459.32
Volume
$91,735.12
Positions
Top Esports
IG2
ig666
Event PnL
-$199.14
Volume
$39,827.77
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Invictus Gaming
TA3
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$106.10
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$28,383.24
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Top EsportsTop Esports
9E4
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$54.00
Volume
$10,038.74
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Invictus GamingOverOver
ME5
MeiGuNiuBi
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Invictus Gaming
BO6
boss8
Event PnL
+$1.21
Volume
$9,282.83
Positions
Invictus Gaming
B57
0xb5de…cabe
Event PnL
-$106.53
Volume
$7,102.20
Positions
Invictus Gaming
GA8
GAMBLINGISCANCER69
Event PnL
+$44.79
Volume
$5,143.28
Positions
Top EsportsTop EsportsTop Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,600% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,600% and O/U 3.5 Games at 7,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $178.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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