LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

$91.4K Vol
Sep 15, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
T1 Academy 69.5%
KT Rolster Challengers 30.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 6,950%, while Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? sits in third with 6,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $91.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (6,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 6,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,950¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? (6,950%): Sitting in third place with a 6,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 3.5 Games (6,750%), Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (6,500%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?7350.0%7350¢-7250¢
2Match Winner6950.0%$91.2K6950¢-6850¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?6950.0%$36950¢-6850¢
4O/U 3.5 Games6750.0%$7.8K6750¢-6650¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?6500.0%$96500¢-6400¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6350.0%6350¢-6250¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon6050.0%6050¢-5950¢
9Game 3 Winner5950.0%$1.0K5950¢-5850¢
10Game 1 Winner5850.0%$9.3K5850¢-5750¢
11Game 2 Winner5850.0%$5165850¢-5750¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?5700.0%5700¢-5600¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 5?5700.0%$25700¢-5600¢
14Game 4 Winner5650.0%$55650¢-5550¢
15Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?5600.0%5600¢-5500¢
16First Blood in Game 2?5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
17Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?5300.0%$75300¢-5200¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
19First Blood in Game 1?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
20First Blood in Game 3?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
21Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?5050.0%$3.0K5050¢-4950¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%$25050¢-4950¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$4.0K5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
36Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
37First Blood in Game 5?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
38First Blood in Game 4?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
39Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)4850.0%$16.1K4850¢-4750¢
40Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
41Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?4650.0%$1.8K4650¢-4550¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?4650.0%4650¢-4550¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?4250.0%4250¢-4150¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
45O/U 4.5 Games3250.0%$143250¢-3150¢
46Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3150.0%3150¢-3050¢
47Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3150.0%3150¢-3050¢
48Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
49Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
50Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
51Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3050.0%3050¢-2950¢
52Any Player Quadra Kill2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
53Any Player Quadra Kill2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
54Any Player Quadra Kill2950.0%2950¢-2850¢
55Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
56Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+2.5)2300.0%$2212300¢-2200¢
57Any Player Penta Kill2100.0%2100¢-2000¢
58Any Player Penta Kill1550.0%1550¢-1450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between T1 Academy and KT Rolster Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win the match against KT Rolster Challengers.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against T1 Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 15, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

9E1
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
+$30.70
Volume
$31,343.00
Positions
T1 AcademyT1 AcademyT1 Academy
072
0x076d…8d4c
Event PnL
-$85.86
Volume
$30,179.94
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers
693
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$23.92
Volume
$16,875.92
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster ChallengersUnder
AM4
am100
Event PnL
-$11.11
Volume
$7,894.93
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers+1
IN5
InAirdropWeTrust
Event PnL
+$43.96
Volume
$7,440.56
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers
BE6
betwithconvic
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
T1 Academy
BL7
blackjackck
Event PnL
+$50.00
Volume
$4,932.86
Positions
T1 Academy
0X8
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$23.94
Volume
$4,788.26
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersUnder

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,350% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 6,950% and Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? at 6,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $91.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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