LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

$70.2K Vol
Sep 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
T1 Academy 57.5%
Dplus KIA Challengers 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,150% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 7,150%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 6,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $70.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $6.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? (7,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? maintains a 7,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,150¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,500%): Sitting in third place with a 6,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%), and Match Winner (5,750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7150.0%$6.9K7150¢-7050¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?7150.0%$27150¢-7050¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6500.0%6500¢-6400¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
6Match Winner5750.0%$56.7K5750¢-5650¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?5700.0%$25700¢-5600¢
8Game 1 Winner5550.0%$5025550¢-5450¢
9Game 2 Winner5550.0%$6525550¢-5450¢
10Game 3 Winner5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
11Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5300.0%$35300¢-5200¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
17Game 4 Winner5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
28First Blood in Game 4?4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
29First Blood in Game 2?4400.0%4400¢-4300¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon4000.0%4000¢-3900¢
31Both Teams Slay a Dragon4000.0%4000¢-3900¢
32Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)3950.0%$3.0K3950¢-3850¢
33O/U 4.5 Games3350.0%$7.2K3350¢-3250¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
35Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
36Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
37Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
38Any Player Quadra Kill2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
39Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
40Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
41Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
42Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2700.0%2700¢-2600¢
43Any Player Penta Kill2100.0%2100¢-2000¢
44Any Player Penta Kill2100.0%2100¢-2000¢
45Any Player Penta Kill2100.0%2100¢-2000¢
46Any Player Penta Kill2100.0%2100¢-2000¢
47Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+2.5)1700.0%$3191700¢-1600¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between T1 Academy and Dplus KIA Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against T1 Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 9, 2026

  • 11:58 PM
    COCollapse0930
    $3.10

    Bought 5 Dplus KIA Challengers for Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5) at 0.62

  • 11:35 PM
    $1.97

    Sold 2.94 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.67

  • 11:34 PM
    MAmamofaker24
    $2.00

    Bought 6.451613 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.31

  • 11:34 PM
    WAwangkaihua
    $142.00

    Bought 202.857143 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.7

  • 11:32 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 2.941175 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.68

  • 11:32 PM
    MAmamofaker24
    $2.00

    Bought 6.060607 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.33

  • 11:31 PM
    AMam100
    $12.53

    Bought 22.37 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.56

  • 11:24 PM
    POPortepasloeil
    $50.00

    Bought 89.285715 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.56

  • 11:14 PM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $67.49

    Bought 124.99 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner at 0.54

  • 11:12 PM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $169.32

    Bought 249 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.68

  • 11:10 PM
    PEpeepk0ck
    $5.00

    Bought 7.35 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.68

  • 11:10 PM
    LEleonMontana
    $93.58

    Bought 283.575758 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.33

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$67.01
Volume
$10,567.99
Positions
T1 AcademyUnderT1 Academy
PR2
PROBABILITYTRADER
Event PnL
+$45.75
Volume
$9,150.00
Positions
T1 Academy
PU3
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$27.24
Volume
$7,271.71
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
KI4
KioskJammer
Event PnL
-$27.14
Volume
$5,429.00
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
CS5
csgamer11
Event PnL
+$59.66
Volume
$3,977.10
Positions
Over
PL6
pltrkr111
Event PnL
-$48.39
Volume
$3,225.79
Positions
Under
EB7
EbatorVagin228
Event PnL
+$15.86
Volume
$3,172.29
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
BL8
black000
Event PnL
-$10.60
Volume
$2,120.18
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,150% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? at 7,150% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $70.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started