LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

$94.9K Vol
Sep 28, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
T1 Academy 91.5%
Cupid Esports 8.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,150% chance of winning. Game 1 Winner follows in second place at 8,150%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 8,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $94.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (9,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $61.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 1 Winner (8,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 1 Winner maintains a 8,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,150¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (8,000%): Sitting in third place with a 8,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 3 Winner (8,000%), Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Cupid Esports (+1.5) (7,900%), and Game 4 Winner (6,500%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner9150.0%$61.9K9150¢-9050¢
2Game 1 Winner8150.0%$2.5K8150¢-8050¢
3Game 2 Winner8000.0%$1288000¢-7900¢
4Game 3 Winner8000.0%$918000¢-7900¢
5Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Cupid Esports (+1.5)7900.0%$1.7K7900¢-7800¢
6Game 4 Winner6500.0%$1.9K6500¢-6400¢
7Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Cupid Esports (+2.5)5550.0%$24.6K5550¢-5450¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
37Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
38Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
39O/U 3.5 Games4400.0%$1.8K4400¢-4300¢
40Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
41Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
42O/U 4.5 Games1500.0%$2931500¢-1400¢
43Any Player Penta Kill1500.0%—1500¢-1400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between T1 Academy and Cupid Esports in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win the match against Cupid Esports.

This market will resolve to "Cupid Esports" if Cupid Esports win the match against T1 Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 28, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 11:29 PM
    APApuuuuh
    $17.20

    Bought 20 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.86

  • 11:29 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $12.56

    Bought 13.8 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.91

  • 11:29 PM
    APApuuuuh
    $6.05

    Bought 11 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.55

  • 11:29 PM
    APApuuuuh
    $4.00

    Bought 5 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports - Game 3 Winner at 0.8

  • 11:29 PM
    NOno1dodgersfan
    $170.10

    Bought 189 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.9

  • 11:26 PM
    TCtcirkven
    $1.98

    Bought 2.385541 T1 Academy for Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Cupid Esports (+1.5) at 0.83

  • 11:26 PM
    APApuuuuh
    $11.73

    Bought 14.31 T1 Academy for Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Cupid Esports (+1.5) at 0.82

  • 11:26 PM
    APApuuuuh
    $4.25

    Bought 5 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.85

  • 11:26 PM
    APApuuuuh
    $0.40

    Bought 0.74 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.54

  • 11:26 PM
    AMameisgoat11
    $4.50

    Bought 5 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.9

  • 11:26 PM
    SUsuntori
    $161.14

    Bought 179.04 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.9

  • 11:26 PM
    VIVirtualReality0001
    $6.77

    Bought 7.52222 T1 Academy for LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.9

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FR1
freeman123
Event PnL
+$0.50
Volume
$20,099.00
Positions
T1 Academy
SC2
Schrodinger1887
Event PnL
-$65.79
Volume
$13,158.00
Positions
Cupid Esports
ZZ3
Zzzz87
Event PnL
-$132.60
Volume
$7,787.00
Positions
T1 AcademyT1 Academy
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$72.18
Volume
$5,499.42
Positions
Cupid EsportsCupid EsportsCupid Esports+1
RE5
Reformedx
Event PnL
-$251.66
Volume
$4,935.48
Positions
Cupid EsportsCupid EsportsCupid Esports
GA6
gambagoat68
Event PnL
+$20.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Cupid Esports
GA7
Gaditima
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$3,955.00
Positions
T1 Academy
FR8
frohp5
Event PnL
+$4.32
Volume
$3,799.99
Positions
Cupid Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: T1 Academy vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,150% win probability, followed by Game 1 Winner at 8,150% and Game 2 Winner at 8,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $94.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started