
LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,000% chance of winning. Game 1 Winner follows in second place at 5,550%, while Odd/Even Total Kills sits in third with 5,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $134.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Match Winner (6,000%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,000¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $72.5K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Game 1 Winner (5,550%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 1 Winner maintains a 5,550% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,550¢.
- Odd/Even Total Kills (5,500%): Sitting in third place with a 5,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Odd/Even Total Kills, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Game 2 Winner (5,450%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,200%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 6000.0% | $72.5K | 6000¢ | -5900¢ |
| 2 | Game 1 Winner | 5550.0% | $26.3K | 5550¢ | -5450¢ |
| 3 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5500.0% | — | 5500¢ | -5400¢ |
| 4 | Game 2 Winner | 5450.0% | $22.4K | 5450¢ | -5350¢ |
| 5 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5200.0% | — | 5200¢ | -5100¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 4950.0% | — | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4500.0% | — | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 20 | O/U 2.5 Games | 4250.0% | $915 | 4250¢ | -4150¢ |
| 21 | Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5) | 3550.0% | $12.2K | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between SU Esports and Verdant in the EMEA Masters Group C, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win the match against Verdant.
This market will resolve to "Verdant" if Verdant win the match against SU Esports.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 23, 2026
- 12:14 PMKAkamakam$2.66
Bought 5.11 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner at 0.52
- 12:14 PMSAsajat5mm$7.37
Bought 12.081966 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C at 0.61
- 12:12 PMXYXyen$42.53
Bought 80.245282 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner at 0.53
- 12:11 PMXYXyen$53.67
Bought 103.211539 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner at 0.52
- 12:08 PMDAdancingmonkey1$172.00
Sold 400 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.43
- 12:08 PMDAdancingmonkey1$204.00
Sold 400 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner at 0.51
- 12:08 PMDAdancingmonkey1$204.00
Sold 400 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner at 0.51
- 12:06 PM0X0x10CF0821bc351A569E1E48AC2CB002569ff060cF-1764643867221$46.19
Bought 88.826922 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner at 0.52
- 12:05 PM0X0xccbeAc01564bc655b7bC7c789047B4eFbf18cD28-1767288523805$1.00
Bought 2.777778 SU Esports for Game Handicap: SU (-1.5) vs Verdant (+1.5) at 0.36
- 12:04 PMDAdancingmonkey1$20.90
Bought 54.99 Verdant for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C at 0.38
- 12:04 PMSNsng888$35.00
Bought 67.307693 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant - Game 1 Winner at 0.52
- 12:03 PMSLSlowbathroom$80.01
Bought 127 SU Esports for LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C at 0.63
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C"?
As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,000% win probability, followed by Game 1 Winner at 5,550% and Odd/Even Total Kills at 5,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $134.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
