LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$98.6K Vol
Oct 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
JD Gaming 85.5%
Shopify Rebellion 14.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,350% chance of winning. Odd/Even Total Kills follows in second place at 5,400%, while Any Player Penta Kill sits in third with 5,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $98.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) (6,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $56.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Odd/Even Total Kills maintains a 5,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,400¢.
  • Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%): Sitting in third place with a 5,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Any Player Penta Kill, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes First Blood in Game 2? (5,150%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,050%), and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)6350.0%$56.0K6350¢-6250¢
2Odd/Even Total Kills5400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
3Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
4First Blood in Game 2?5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
18First Blood in Game 1?4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4700.0%$34700¢-4600¢
20Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4650.0%$34650¢-4550¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills4100.0%—4100¢-4000¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3500.0%—3500¢-3400¢
24O/U 2.5 Games3400.0%$9763400¢-3300¢
25Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
26Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
27Game 1 Winner2350.0%$1.1K2350¢-2250¢
28Game 2 Winner2350.0%$3622350¢-2250¢
29Match Winner1450.0%$40.1K1450¢-1350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between Shopify Rebellion and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 5, 2026

  • 12:23 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 JD Gaming for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:23 AM
    FIFireCatMan
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702703 Shopify Rebellion for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 12:21 AM
    TUTur3mai
    $1.70

    Bought 3.148147 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.54

  • 12:21 AM
    TUTur3mai
    $1.70

    Bought 3.090908 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.55

  • 12:17 AM
    BBBBB8866
    $12.91

    Bought 16.551281 JD Gaming for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner at 0.78

  • 12:17 AM
    0X0xf982c94074bfE0A4d45e0849cb773A906ef78482-1790085718514
    $169.00

    Bought 1126.666667 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.15

  • 12:16 AM
    TATarnished.
    $4.42

    Bought 6.90625 JD Gaming for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:16 AM
    ——
    $4.25

    Bought 6.640625 JD Gaming for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:16 AM
    0X0xf982c94074bfE0A4d45e0849cb773A906ef78482-1790085718514
    $250.00

    Bought 675.675676 Shopify Rebellion for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 12:12 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.5625 JD Gaming for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.64

  • 12:12 AM
    KIKingSavagge
    $5.00

    Bought 13.513514 Shopify Rebellion for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.37

  • 12:11 AM
    4242na
    $9.99

    Bought 15.609375 JD Gaming for Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.64

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VI1
vibing123
Event PnL
+$6.00
Volume
$10,023.74
Positions
JD Gaming
CF2
0xcF60…6847
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
DR3
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$31.86
Volume
$6,372.82
Positions
JD Gaming
DI4
Divinev
Event PnL
+$19.18
Volume
$5,890.92
Positions
Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
FR5
freeman123
Event PnL
-$5.00
Volume
$3,917.16
Positions
JD Gaming
F96
0xf982…8514
Event PnL
-$18.43
Volume
$3,686.13
Positions
Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
BY7
BYTasb1
Event PnL
-$10.44
Volume
$2,089.19
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
MO8
MoneyFile
Event PnL
-$9.50
Volume
$1,900.00
Positions
JD Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,350% win probability, followed by Odd/Even Total Kills at 5,400% and Any Player Penta Kill at 5,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $98.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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