LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season

$266.7K Vol
Sep 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
FlyQuest 95.5%
Shopify Rebellion 4.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 5,450%, while O/U 2.5 Games sits in third with 5,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $266.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (5,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 5,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,450¢.
  • O/U 2.5 Games (5,450%): Sitting in third place with a 5,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 2.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,350%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,200%), and First Blood in Game 2? (5,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like First Blood in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?9995.0%$8.1K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner5450.0%$121.1K5450¢-5350¢
3O/U 2.5 Games5450.0%$2.8K5450¢-5350¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5350.0%5350¢-5250¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
6First Blood in Game 2?5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
7First Blood in Game 1?5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5050.0%$465050¢-4950¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?5050.0%$105050¢-4950¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?4950.0%$104950¢-4850¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%4800¢-4700¢
27Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)4750.0%$7.0K4750¢-4650¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4750.0%4750¢-4650¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4400.0%$54400¢-4300¢
30Match Winner2550.0%$194.9K2550¢-2450¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?2100.0%$7.8K2100¢-2000¢
32Game 1 Winner5.0%$341.8K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Shopify Rebellion and FlyQuest in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against FlyQuest.

This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 6, 2026

  • 08:59 PM
    OSoskarvardal
    $63.00

    Bought 150 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.42

  • 08:52 PM
    A8a8999
    $1,797.25

    Sold 1797.25 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 1

  • 08:41 PM
    SUsuntori
    $5.10

    Bought 10 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.51

  • 08:37 PM
    FUfunfacts
    $1.32

    Bought 3.3 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.4

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
    $11.46

    Bought 16.138885 FlyQuest for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.71

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
    $11.52

    Bought 16 FlyQuest for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.72

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f
    $12.68

    Bought 17.61 FlyQuest for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.72

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $1.70

    Bought 5.151514 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.33

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $1.65

    Bought 5 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.33

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $1.75

    Bought 5.46875 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.32

  • 08:36 PM
    HXhxlg4ever
    $11.04

    Bought 33.440302 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.33

  • 08:36 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $1.70

    Bought 5.151514 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season at 0.33

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

TA1
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$4,767.20
Volume
$103,798.92
Positions
FlyQuestFlyQuestFlyQuest+1
BR2
BrotherObama
Event PnL
-$5,612.98
Volume
$98,012.47
Positions
Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
R33
r34th675h7h5h75h55g65
Event PnL
+$4,312.51
Volume
$47,242.00
Positions
FlyQuest
LF4
lfg100k
Event PnL
+$554.17
Volume
$15,833.01
Positions
FlyQuest
NO5
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$531.28
Volume
$15,808.06
Positions
Shopify RebellionUnderShopify Rebellion+3
TE6
teacherbai
Event PnL
+$1,151.77
Volume
$13,614.44
Positions
FlyQuest
ZY7
Zywoo123
Event PnL
-$831.54
Volume
$9,282.00
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
MI8
MissingJoy
Event PnL
-$639.98
Volume
$7,999.77
Positions
Shopify Rebellion

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 5,450% and O/U 2.5 Games at 5,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $266.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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