LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

$104.6K Vol
Oct 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
T1 Academy 63.5%
Solary 36.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,100% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 5,600%, while Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? sits in third with 5,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $104.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $516 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? (5,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? maintains a 5,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,600¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? (5,500%): Sitting in third place with a 5,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? (5,500%), Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,150%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7100.0%$5167100¢-7000¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5600.0%—5600¢-5500¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
9First Blood in Game 3?5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10First Blood in Game 4?5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
34Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
35Odd/Even Total Kills4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4?4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
38Game 3 Winner4750.0%$6.0K4750¢-4650¢
39Game 4 Winner4550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
40Game 2 Winner4450.0%$5.3K4450¢-4350¢
41Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Solary (+1.5)4350.0%$3.3K4350¢-4250¢
42Game 1 Winner4250.0%$8.8K4250¢-4150¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?4200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?4200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?4150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
46Match Winner3750.0%$80.5K3750¢-3650¢
47O/U 4.5 Games3350.0%$3453350¢-3250¢
48Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
50Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
51Game Handicap: T1.A (-2.5) vs Solary (+2.5)1850.0%$111850¢-1750¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Solary and T1 Academy in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win the match against T1 Academy.

This market will resolve to "T1 Academy" if T1 Academy win the match against Solary.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 2, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 1, 2026

  • 12:47 PM
    ATathadi2
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702703 Solary for LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.37

  • 12:47 PM
    YUYukinoP68
    $2.00

    Bought 3.125 T1 Academy for LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.64

  • 12:26 PM
    PEPedonculeDeJonquille
    $14.80

    Bought 20 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.74

  • 11:39 AM
    ATathadi2
    $1.07

    Bought 2.891892 Solary for LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.37

  • 11:39 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $19.04

    Bought 29.75 T1 Academy for LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.64

  • 11:35 AM
    ATathadi2
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702703 Solary for LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.37

  • 11:35 AM
    ——
    $3.20

    Bought 5 T1 Academy for LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.64

  • 11:31 AM
    AGAge30Retire
    $254.56

    Bought 688 Solary for LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.37

  • 11:24 AM
    MImitgnik
    $9.84

    Sold 15.62 T1 Academy for LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.63

  • 10:36 AM
    ATathadi2
    $5.63

    Bought 15.216217 Solary for LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.37

  • 10:36 AM
    MIMisix
    $100.00

    Bought 156.25 T1 Academy for LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.64

  • 10:27 AM
    ATathadi2
    $1.00

    Bought 2.702703 Solary for LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.37

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$88.97
Volume
$23,333.28
Positions
SolarySolarySolary+2
GO2
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$49.94
Volume
$19,999.79
Positions
Solary
ZH3
zhutianwei1
Event PnL
-$108.49
Volume
$14,290.07
Positions
T1 Academy
OM4
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
-$1.99
Volume
$9,649.76
Positions
Solary
BI5
bit754
Event PnL
+$3.54
Volume
$8,168.83
Positions
T1 Academy
LU6
lug
Event PnL
-$40.52
Volume
$8,107.99
Positions
Solary
EB7
EbatorVagin228
Event PnL
-$46.35
Volume
$7,865.24
Positions
T1 AcademyT1 Academy
LO8
lolpredict
Event PnL
+$109.10
Volume
$7,273.38
Positions
Solary

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,100% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? at 5,600% and Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3? at 5,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $104.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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