LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

$484.9K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Solary 73.0%
G2 NORD 27.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 7,550%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $484.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $190.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Match Winner (7,550%): Sitting in third place with a 7,550% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 4 Winner (6,850%), Game 3 Winner (6,650%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,155%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$190.8K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$14.6K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner7550.0%$82.6K7550¢-7450¢
4Game 4 Winner6850.0%$1.3K6850¢-6750¢
5Game 3 Winner6650.0%$46.3K6650¢-6550¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5155.0%—5155¢-5055¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33First Blood in Game 2?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
34First Blood in Game 3?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
35Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4845.0%—4845¢-4745¢
36Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4845.0%—4845¢-4745¢
37Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
38Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)4650.0%$16.6K4650¢-4550¢
39O/U 4.5 Games3950.0%$1.9K3950¢-3850¢
40Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%—50¢50¢
41Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%—50¢50¢
42Game 2 Winner5.0%$108.4K5¢95¢
43Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5)5.0%$22.5K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between Solary and G2 NORD in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win the match against G2 NORD.

This market will resolve to "G2 NORD" if G2 NORD win the match against Solary.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 10, 2026

  • 01:48 PM
    COcooljit
    $35.52

    Bought 95.99 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5) at 0.37

  • 01:44 PM
    LALakan
    $40.00

    Bought 59.701493 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 01:36 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $7.41

    Bought 11.0597 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) at 0.67

  • 01:35 PM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $33.83

    Bought 91.432433 Solary for Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5) at 0.37

  • 01:08 PM
    TUtuzology
    $174.96

    Bought 216 Solary for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.81

  • 01:04 PM
    Q1q136084
    $340.92

    Bought 501.35294 Solary for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner at 0.68

  • 01:04 PM
    LULuffyDave
    $1.08

    Bought 1.588234 Solary for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner at 0.68

  • 01:03 PM
    MJMJ1337
    $58.20

    Bought 181.88 G2 NORD for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner at 0.32

  • 01:03 PM
    MJMJ1337
    $29.00

    Bought 152.63 G2 NORD for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.19

  • 12:56 PM
    SMsmokeyy001
    $5.00

    Bought 7.8125 G2 NORD for Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5) at 0.64

  • 12:35 PM
    PWPwwo
    $4.10

    Bought 5 Solary for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.82

  • 12:35 PM
    ——
    $13.54

    Bought 71.263158 G2 NORD for LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.19

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$132.47
Volume
$16,844.60
Positions
G2 NORDG2 NORDG2 NORD+3
GA2
galaktika123
Event PnL
-$58.00
Volume
$11,599.99
Positions
Solary
AM3
am100
Event PnL
+$103.69
Volume
$9,228.07
Positions
G2 NORDG2 NORDG2 NORD+4
NE4
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$147.44
Volume
$5,220.36
Positions
SolarySolary
BL5
blancnoirchat
Event PnL
-$9.93
Volume
$4,600.29
Positions
SolaryUnderSolary+1
TH6
THEHIGHLIFE
Event PnL
-$15.13
Volume
$3,659.65
Positions
G2 NORD
VE7
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$1.33
Volume
$3,531.09
Positions
SolarySolarySolary+1
AN8
antec
Event PnL
-$3.03
Volume
$3,244.35
Positions
SolarySolarySolary+5

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 Games at 9,995% and Match Winner at 7,550%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $484.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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