LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

$90.9K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Solary 70.5%
DN SOOPers Challengers 29.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,050% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 Games follows in second place at 6,800%, while Game 1 Winner sits in third with 6,100%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $90.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (7,050%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,050¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $88.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 Games (6,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 Games maintains a 6,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,800¢.
  • Game 1 Winner (6,100%): Sitting in third place with a 6,100% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 2 Winner (6,050%), Game 3 Winner (6,050%), and Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2? (5,500%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner7050.0%$88.8K7050¢-6950¢
2O/U 3.5 Games6800.0%$1496800¢-6700¢
3Game 1 Winner6100.0%$3616100¢-6000¢
4Game 2 Winner6050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
5Game 3 Winner6050.0%—6050¢-5950¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5500.0%—5500¢-5400¢
7Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)5450.0%$1.6K5450¢-5350¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
41Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
42First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?4300.0%—4300¢-4200¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?4150.0%—4150¢-4050¢
46Game 4 Winner3900.0%—3900¢-3800¢
47O/U 4.5 Games3050.0%$133050¢-2950¢
48Game Handicap: SLY (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5)2650.0%—2650¢-2550¢
49Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
50Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
51Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between Solary and DN SOOPers Challengers in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Solary" if Solary win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers.

This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against Solary.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 12:07 PM
    CRCrabfestival
    $2.82

    Bought 9.4 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.3

  • 12:04 PM
    CRCrabfestival
    $6.21

    Sold 21.4 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.29

  • 12:03 PM
    TOtop14
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 Solary for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.71

  • 12:02 PM
    TOtop14
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 Solary for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.71

  • 12:01 PM
    TOtop14
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 Solary for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.71

  • 11:47 AM
    BYBYTasb1
    $330.00

    Bought 1100 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.3

  • 11:46 AM
    BYBYTasb1
    $330.00

    Bought 1100 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.3

  • 11:38 AM
    BYBYTasb1
    $320.00

    Bought 1066.666667 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.3

  • 11:37 AM
    BYBYTasb1
    $310.00

    Bought 1033.333334 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.3

  • 11:33 AM
    CScsgamer11
    $403.40

    Bought 1344.666667 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.3

  • 11:29 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 1.408451 Solary for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.71

  • 11:16 AM
    FRFradique
    $3.50

    Sold 5 Solary for LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.7

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ZH1
zhutianwei1
Event PnL
-$1,330.75
Volume
$17,671.30
Positions
DN SOOPers Challengers
RE2
RevengeRange
Event PnL
+$82.01
Volume
$15,290.00
Positions
Solary
GV3
gvrgb326552g65
Event PnL
+$1,242.88
Volume
$13,082.85
Positions
Solary
CS4
csgamer11
Event PnL
-$22.75
Volume
$11,049.00
Positions
DN SOOPers Challengers
5B5
0x5b10…9314
Event PnL
+$724.03
Volume
$10,990.51
Positions
Solary
YA6
Yang-Zijiang
Event PnL
-$179.94
Volume
$6,354.30
Positions
DN SOOPers Challengers
RE7
Reformedx
Event PnL
+$114.95
Volume
$5,029.97
Positions
Solary
KJ8
kjuicy
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$4,999.95
Positions
Solary

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Solary vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,050% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 Games at 6,800% and Game 1 Winner at 6,100%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $90.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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