LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs

$128K Vol
Sep 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
The Ruddy Sack 53.0%
Verdant 47.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 3 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 3.5 Games sits in third with 9,955%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $128K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $22.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 3 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,955%): Sitting in third place with a 9,955% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 3.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,950%), Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%), and Match Winner (6,750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like O/U 4.5 Games are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$22.7K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 3 Winner9995.0%$39.5K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 3.5 Games9955.0%$559955¢-9855¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
6Match Winner6750.0%$31.4K6750¢-6650¢
7O/U 4.5 Games6250.0%$4366250¢-6150¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Game 4 Winner2850.0%$32.3K2850¢-2750¢
33Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%50¢50¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%50¢50¢
35Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
36Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
37Game 1 Winner5.0%$15.4K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between The Ruddy Sack and Verdant in the NLC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "The Ruddy Sack" if The Ruddy Sack win the match against Verdant.

This market will resolve to "Verdant" if Verdant win the match against The Ruddy Sack.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 16, 2026

  • 10:46 AM
    JEjellybelly42
    $2.69

    Bought 6.897436 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.39

  • 10:08 AM
    GOGonnaBeRich02
    $52.00

    Bought 83.870968 Verdant for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.62

  • 09:55 AM
    BOBoss7
    $496.00

    Bought 800 Verdant for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.62

  • 09:40 AM
    ARarcher111
    $7.00

    Bought 17.94 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.39

  • 09:40 AM
    WHwhatyouknowboutlove
    $146.33

    Bought 385.07 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.38

  • 08:44 AM
    PHphoebebuffay
    $15.00

    Bought 37.5 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.4

  • 08:39 AM
    KIkishkatonka777
    $13.91

    Bought 36.605264 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.38

  • 08:38 AM
    KAkantesher
    $24.06

    Bought 63.31579 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.38

  • 08:38 AM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $25.90

    Bought 70 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.37

  • 08:18 AM
    PUpurplegatto
    $9.99

    Bought 27 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.37

  • 07:20 AM
    JZjzr09
    $7.00

    Bought 10.9375 Verdant for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.64

  • 07:10 AM
    $0.78

    Sold 2.17 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.36

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

WH1
whatyouknowboutlove
Event PnL
+$6.35
Volume
$1,547.34
Positions
The Ruddy Sack
BO2
Boss7
Event PnL
-$4.00
Volume
$1,050.00
Positions
Verdant
ME3
meowmeowwoof123
Event PnL
-$2.43
Volume
$484.99
Positions
Verdant
ME4
merkmerk12333331
Event PnL
-$11.24
Volume
$458.35
Positions
Verdant
SA5
Satisfactory8
Event PnL
+$7.31
Volume
$243.70
Positions
The Ruddy Sack
696
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$3.86
Volume
$107.50
Positions
The Ruddy SackOver
BR7
bravewarriorrrrrr
Event PnL
-$1.46
Volume
$97.00
Positions
Verdant
GO8
GonnaBeRich02
Event PnL
-$0.42
Volume
$83.87
Positions
Verdant

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 3 Winner at 9,995% and O/U 3.5 Games at 9,955%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $128K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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