
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,950% chance of winning. First Blood in Game 2? follows in second place at 5,050%, while Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $151K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) (7,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $63.3K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- First Blood in Game 2? (5,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, First Blood in Game 2? maintains a 5,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,050¢.
- Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) | 7950.0% | $63.3K | 7950¢ | -7850¢ |
| 2 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 21 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 4900.0% | $660 | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 22 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 4850.0% | $702 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 23 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 3550.0% | $3 | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 24 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 3550.0% | — | 3550¢ | -3450¢ |
| 25 | O/U 2.5 Games | 1900.0% | $1.6K | 1900¢ | -1800¢ |
| 26 | Any Player Penta Kill | 1550.0% | — | 1550¢ | -1450¢ |
| 27 | Game 2 Winner | 1050.0% | $9.0K | 1050¢ | -950¢ |
| 28 | Game 1 Winner | 950.0% | $16.1K | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 29 | Match Winner | 450.0% | $59.8K | 450¢ | -350¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between RED Canids and KT Rolster in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against KT Rolster.
This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against RED Canids.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 4, 2026
- 01:22 AMJAjaijiajaijai$4.29
Bought 71.42 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.06
- 01:22 AMJAjaijiajaijai$2.70
Bought 44.96 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.06
- 01:19 AMSCSchrodinger1887$317.35
Bought 5289.166667 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.06
- 01:13 AM0X0xeBC628c7aF1Da7fF071cf597448289E4ad62448e-1776472338957$181.01
Bought 3016.833334 RED Canids for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.06
- 01:07 AMTHthb9037$8.00
Bought 10 KT Rolster for Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) at 0.8
- 01:05 AMMIminhbhvta$299.00
Bought 314.73684 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.95
- 12:57 AM——$20.00
Bought 21.05262 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.95
- 12:40 AMJAjaijiajaijai$88.00
Bought 100 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner at 0.88
- 12:40 AMJAjaijiajaijai$39.11
Bought 44.44 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner at 0.88
- 12:40 AMDUDubois2$440.00
Bought 500 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner at 0.88
- 12:40 AMDWdwedwd$4.40
Bought 5 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner at 0.88
- 12:40 AMJAjaijiajaijai$39.11
Bought 44.44 KT Rolster for LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner at 0.88
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?
As of the latest update, Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,950% win probability, followed by First Blood in Game 2? at 5,050% and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $151K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
