LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs

$179.7K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
PART TIMERS 54.0%
essences 46.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 3.5 Games sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $179.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $24.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 3.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 4.5 Games (9,995%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,250%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$24.2K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$28.9K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$2139995¢-9895¢
4O/U 4.5 Games9995.0%$1649995¢-9895¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
28Any Player Penta Kill4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
32Any Player Quadra Kill4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
33Any Player Penta Kill4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
34Odd/Even Total Kills4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
35Match Winner165.0%$49.3K165¢-65¢
36Game 3 Winner5.0%$27.6K5¢95¢
37Game 4 Winner5.0%$49.3K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between PART TIMERS and essences in the LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PART TIMERS" if PART TIMERS win the match against essences.

This market will resolve to "essences" if essences win the match against PART TIMERS.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 11, 2026

  • 01:29 PM
    1515perces
    $2.60

    Bought 5 PART TIMERS for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

  • 01:28 PM
    JIJimmyman132
    $12.98

    Bought 24.96 PART TIMERS for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

  • 01:26 PM
    GRGREGsdbgdfsfwe
    $29.98

    Bought 61.1752 essences for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs at 0.49

  • 01:20 PM
    TUTur3mai
    $1.02

    Bought 2.081633 essences for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs at 0.49

  • 01:20 PM
    SUsuntori
    $47.84

    Bought 86.979637 PART TIMERS for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs at 0.55

  • 01:19 PM
    0X0x602783331AA0c8E3Bb0EE4DD521f119b4bc1b320-1790699222479
    $4.48

    Bought 9.142858 essences for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs at 0.49

  • 01:04 PM
    ALalex-rus
    $4.90

    Bought 8.305085 PART TIMERS for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs at 0.59

  • 12:56 PM
    ZZzzsssa
    $5.33

    Bought 10.88 essences for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs at 0.49

  • 12:52 PM
    ANAndrew098
    $60.00

    Bought 120 essences for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs at 0.5

  • 12:37 PM
    VIvip190666
    $8.56

    Bought 17.46 essences for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs at 0.49

  • 12:36 PM
    VIvip190666
    $284.13

    Bought 579.86 essences for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs at 0.49

  • 12:35 PM
    VIvip190666
    $285.28

    Bought 570.55 essences for LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs at 0.5

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CO1
ColdBlooded
Event PnL
+$196.55
Volume
$7,366.91
Positions
PART TIMERS
VI2
vip190666
Event PnL
-$37.27
Volume
$3,484.68
Positions
essences
SU3
suntori
Event PnL
-$531.53
Volume
$2,653.98
Positions
essences
ZE4
Zenhack
Event PnL
+$70.83
Volume
$1,447.04
Positions
PART TIMERS
XX5
xx0009
Event PnL
-$69.87
Volume
$1,400.00
Positions
essences
2A6
0x2A35…2718
Event PnL
-$305.64
Volume
$1,348.26
Positions
PART TIMERS
9E7
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
+$274.00
Volume
$1,210.50
Positions
essences
PO8
pol6698
Event PnL
-$7.04
Volume
$1,115.37
Positions
essences

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: PART TIMERS vs essences (BO5) - LCP Promotion: Wild Card Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 9,995% and O/U 3.5 Games at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $179.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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