LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

$63.9K Vol
Sep 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
PCIFIC 81.5%
Dark Passage 18.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,150% chance of winning. Game 3 Winner follows in second place at 7,350%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 7,180%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $63.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (8,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $2.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 3 Winner (7,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 3 Winner maintains a 7,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,350¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (7,180%): Sitting in third place with a 7,180% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 4 Winner (7,050%), O/U 3.5 Games (7,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner8150.0%$2.9K8150¢-8050¢
2Game 3 Winner7350.0%$2957350¢-7250¢
3Game 2 Winner7180.0%$2.1K7180¢-7080¢
4Game 4 Winner7050.0%$1.2K7050¢-6950¢
5O/U 3.5 Games7000.0%$11.3K7000¢-6900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5950.0%5950¢-5850¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
11Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)5250.0%$785250¢-5150¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
25Game 1 Winner4450.0%$47.0K4450¢-4350¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3900.0%3900¢-3800¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
32Any Player Quadra Kill3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
33Any Player Quadra Kill3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
34Any Player Quadra Kill3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
35Any Player Penta Kill3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
36Any Player Penta Kill3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
37Any Player Penta Kill3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
38Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)3000.0%$3.2K3000¢-2900¢
39O/U 4.5 Games2500.0%$1842500¢-2400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between PCIFIC and Dark Passage in the TCL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PCIFIC " if PCIFIC win the match against Dark Passage.

This market will resolve to "Dark Passage" if Dark Passage win the match against PCIFIC .

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 31, 2026

  • 09:13 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.60

    Bought 5 PCIFIC for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

  • 09:13 PM
    AIAIluka
    $113.47

    Sold 236.4 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.48

  • 09:12 PM
    LOlolixmaster
    $9.72

    Bought 16.2 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 09:12 PM
    LOlolixmaster
    $3.81

    Bought 6.81 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.56

  • 09:12 PM
    LOlolixmaster
    $11.40

    Bought 20 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 09:12 PM
    CHchaeri
    $21.24

    Bought 44.26 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.48

  • 09:12 PM
    CEceasal
    $37.86

    Sold 74.24 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

  • 09:12 PM
    FAFaithInTheLord
    $726.02

    Sold 1423.56 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

  • 09:11 PM
    0X0x2E680377658456CC5dD05C8a4E0a146013f458f2-1768513818152
    $85.80

    Sold 156 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.55

  • 09:11 PM
    KOKOGamble6273
    $2.80

    Sold 5 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.56

  • 09:10 PM
    MEmervebg20
    $543.74

    Sold 1006.93 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 09:10 PM
    0X0x0Eb321cc0017902Dc940DE7E7f74d3Ff6B7A211b-1777928630569
    $15.00

    Bought 38.461537 PCIFIC for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.39

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

AL1
alpheclabs
Event PnL
+$331.70
Volume
$6,603.93
Positions
PCIFICUnderDark Passage
GE2
getlowgetlow
Event PnL
-$331.04
Volume
$5,154.58
Positions
OverDark Passage
XD3
xdddddddddddddddddddddddd
Event PnL
-$190.42
Volume
$4,378.66
Positions
Dark Passage
GO4
godenkor
Event PnL
+$422.83
Volume
$4,159.23
Positions
PCIFIC
WH5
whatyouknowboutlove
Event PnL
-$100.28
Volume
$3,982.64
Positions
PCIFICPCIFIC
CI6
cici995
Event PnL
-$64.72
Volume
$3,255.14
Positions
PCIFICOverDark Passage
XA7
xaihunkr45467
Event PnL
-$318.38
Volume
$3,238.07
Positions
Dark Passage
SS8
SSSrankgypsy
Event PnL
+$335.42
Volume
$3,173.72
Positions
Dark Passage

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,150% win probability, followed by Game 3 Winner at 7,350% and Game 2 Winner at 7,180%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $63.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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