LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

$87.8K Vol
Oct 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Maryville University 92.5%
Zeu5 Esports 7.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,350% chance of winning. Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+1.5) follows in second place at 9,050%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 8,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $87.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (9,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $49.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+1.5) (9,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+1.5) maintains a 9,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,050¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (8,450%): Sitting in third place with a 8,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 1 Winner (8,400%), Game 3 Winner (8,350%), and Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) (6,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 4 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner9350.0%$49.4K9350¢-9250¢
2Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+1.5)9050.0%$1.6K9050¢-8950¢
3Game 2 Winner8450.0%$9.6K8450¢-8350¢
4Game 1 Winner8400.0%$11.2K8400¢-8300¢
5Game 3 Winner8350.0%$7.7K8350¢-8250¢
6Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5)6100.0%$20.0K6100¢-6000¢
7Game 4 Winner5700.0%$5435700¢-5600¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34O/U 3.5 Games3450.0%$4.7K3450¢-3350¢
35Odd/Even Total Kills3200.0%—3200¢-3100¢
36O/U 4.5 Games1350.0%$1.1K1350¢-1250¢
37Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
38Any Player Penta Kill750.0%—750¢-650¢
39Any Player Penta Kill750.0%—750¢-650¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket round 1 match between Maryville University and Zeu5 Esports in the LCS Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Zeu5 Esports.

This market will resolve to "Zeu5 Esports" if Zeu5 Esports win the match against Maryville University.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 5, 2026

  • 09:01 AM
    KGKGkg666
    $227.00

    Bought 454 Zeu5 Esports for Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) at 0.5

  • 09:00 AM
    0X0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408
    $4.00

    Bought 5 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.8

  • 09:00 AM
    AMam100
    $390.08

    Bought 493.77 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.79

  • 08:58 AM
    EEeexdx
    $24.10

    Bought 48.2 Zeu5 Esports for Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) at 0.5

  • 08:57 AM
    AMamidamarus
    $60.85

    Bought 121.7 Zeu5 Esports for Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) at 0.5

  • 08:56 AM
    K2K2899743
    $20.00

    Bought 25.641022 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports - Game 3 Winner at 0.78

  • 08:51 AM
    SYsynooptic
    $18.05

    Bought 36.1 Zeu5 Esports for Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) at 0.5

  • 08:50 AM
    KGKGkg666
    $25.97

    Sold 53 Zeu5 Esports for Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) at 0.49

  • 08:48 AM
    KGKGkg666
    $105.00

    Bought 210 Zeu5 Esports for Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) at 0.5

  • 08:47 AM
    LULukasz273
    $364.71

    Bought 729.41 Maryville University for Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) at 0.5

  • 08:45 AM
    ATathadi2
    $22.74

    Bought 45.48 Maryville University for Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) at 0.5

  • 08:45 AM
    KGKGkg666
    $236.64

    Bought 464 Zeu5 Esports for Game Handicap: MVU (-2.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+2.5) at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CO1
ColdBlooded
Event PnL
+$178.28
Volume
$52,872.80
Positions
Maryville UniversityMaryville UniversityMaryville University+4
PU2
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$393.93
Volume
$9,141.13
Positions
Zeu5 Esports
FB3
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
-$6.48
Volume
$7,225.46
Positions
Zeu5 EsportsZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+1
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$176.26
Volume
$6,080.71
Positions
Zeu5 EsportsZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+2
CA5
CAcap
Event PnL
-$109.03
Volume
$5,386.27
Positions
OverZeu5 EsportsZeu5 Esports+5
TR6
trader12312
Event PnL
+$46.20
Volume
$3,905.18
Positions
Maryville University
LO7
loldot
Event PnL
-$75.32
Volume
$3,857.87
Positions
Zeu5 EsportsOverZeu5 Esports
A88
a8999
Event PnL
-$75.00
Volume
$3,000.00
Positions
Zeu5 Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Maryville University vs Zeu5 Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,350% win probability, followed by Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Zeu5 Esports (+1.5) at 9,050% and Game 2 Winner at 8,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $87.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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