LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

$121.7K Vol
Oct 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cupid Esports 65.5%
Maryville University 34.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,150% chance of winning. Odd/Even Total Kills follows in second place at 5,800%, while Odd/Even Total Kills sits in third with 5,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $121.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $218 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,800%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Odd/Even Total Kills maintains a 5,800% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,800¢.
  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,450%): Sitting in third place with a 5,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Odd/Even Total Kills, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Odd/Even Total Kills (5,450%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,250%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,250%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 4 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7150.0%$2187150¢-7050¢
2Odd/Even Total Kills5800.0%—5800¢-5700¢
3Odd/Even Total Kills5450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills5450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
7Game 4 Winner5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Game 2 Winner4550.0%$17.3K4550¢-4450¢
31Game 3 Winner4450.0%$7.6K4450¢-4350¢
32Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)4450.0%$26.9K4450¢-4350¢
33Game 1 Winner4350.0%$21.1K4350¢-4250¢
34Match Winner3550.0%$47.6K3550¢-3450¢
35O/U 4.5 Games3250.0%—3250¢-3150¢
36Any Player Penta Kill1950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
37Game Handicap: CPD (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5)1900.0%$1.0K1900¢-1800¢
38Any Player Penta Kill700.0%—700¢-600¢
39Any Player Penta Kill700.0%—700¢-600¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Maryville University and Cupid Esports in the LCS Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Cupid Esports.

This market will resolve to "Cupid Esports" if Cupid Esports win the match against Maryville University.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 8, 2026

  • 02:00 PM
    AMam100
    $32.75

    Bought 72.78 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.45

  • 01:59 PM
    GRGREGsdbgdfsfwe
    $98.51

    Sold 149.25 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.66

  • 01:56 PM
    JZjzr09
    $7.00

    Bought 10.44776 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.67

  • 01:54 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $190.47

    Bought 284.283581 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.67

  • 01:49 PM
    0X0xFe77AE932bbB0174543F7312992CEd10DbC28fE4-1780652519271
    $2.70

    Bought 5 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 3 Winner at 0.54

  • 01:47 PM
    FAFaustMendez
    $46.31

    Bought 87.37 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.53

  • 01:44 PM
    ININDRAgs
    $5.00

    Bought 10.41 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.48

  • 01:44 PM
    FUFuguetaLDS
    $15.33

    Bought 32.62 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.47

  • 01:43 PM
    VIvip190666
    $351.65

    Bought 651.2 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 01:43 PM
    XXxxd1234
    $33.50

    Bought 50 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.67

  • 01:37 PM
    VIvip190666
    $692.39

    Bought 1282.2 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 01:37 PM
    SAsamanto
    $13.40

    Bought 20 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.67

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,150% win probability, followed by Odd/Even Total Kills at 5,800% and Odd/Even Total Kills at 5,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $121.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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