LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs

$346.3K Vol
Sep 17, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
eSuba 77.0%
Meavedron 23.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 3 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 9,505%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $346.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 3 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $126.2K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,505%): Sitting in third place with a 9,505% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 3 Winner9995.0%$126.2K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$2.6K9995¢-9895¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon9505.0%9505¢-9405¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 4.5 Games3650.0%$1.3K3650¢-3550¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor495.0%495¢-395¢
30Any Player Quadra Kill495.0%495¢-395¢
31Any Player Penta Kill495.0%495¢-395¢
32Odd/Even Total Kills495.0%495¢-395¢
33Match Winner200.0%$61.7K200¢-100¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%50¢50¢
35Game 1 Winner5.0%$73.6K95¢
36Game 2 Winner5.0%$85.7K95¢
37Game 4 Winner5.0%$73.6K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Meavedron and eSuba in the Hitpoint Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Meavedron" if Meavedron win the match against eSuba.

This market will resolve to "eSuba" if eSuba win the match against Meavedron.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 16, 2026

  • 11:16 AM
    GEgeaaa
    $96.72

    Bought 153.53 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63

  • 11:02 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.28

    Bought 6.793651 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63

  • 11:00 AM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $11.34

    Bought 18 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63

  • 10:46 AM
    FEFeligu
    $4.04

    Bought 12.618297 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.32

  • 10:46 AM
    FEFeligu
    $74.00

    Bought 117.460318 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63

  • 10:33 AM
    LEleks1r
    $50.00

    Bought 79.365078 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63

  • 10:32 AM
    APApuh4
    $3.20

    Bought 5.079364 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63

  • 10:32 AM
    APApuh4
    $2.85

    Bought 5.089286 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba - Game 1 Winner at 0.56

  • 10:32 AM
    NIniromicon
    $20.66

    Sold 33.33 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.62

  • 10:25 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $246.66

    Bought 649.105264 eSuba for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.38

  • 10:21 AM
    $3.00

    Bought 4.761905 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63

  • 09:58 AM
    MOmoon-k58-lad
    $2.10

    Bought 5 eSuba for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba - Game 4 Winner at 0.42

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SK1
skadii
Event PnL
+$4.37
Volume
$2,719.28
Positions
eSubaUndereSuba+1
9E2
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
-$18.06
Volume
$1,302.79
Positions
OvereSubaeSuba
C33
0xc34c…2e29
Event PnL
-$5.20
Volume
$1,157.29
Positions
MeavedronOver
364
369--369
Event PnL
+$4.98
Volume
$1,064.21
Positions
eSuba
BO5
Boss7
Event PnL
+$8.25
Volume
$983.25
Positions
Meavedron
AN6
antec
Event PnL
+$8.31
Volume
$787.96
Positions
MeavedronUnderMeavedron+1
DA7
darkumbreon99
Event PnL
-$3.20
Volume
$640.80
Positions
Meavedron
GE8
geaaa
Event PnL
+$1.46
Volume
$591.05
Positions
Meavedron

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 3 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 Games at 9,995% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 9,505%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $346.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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