
LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Game 3 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 9,505%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $346.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Game 3 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 3 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $126.2K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,505%): Sitting in third place with a 9,505% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 3 Winner | 9995.0% | $126.2K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | O/U 3.5 Games | 9995.0% | $2.6K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9505.0% | — | 9505¢ | -9405¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | O/U 4.5 Games | 3650.0% | $1.3K | 3650¢ | -3550¢ |
| 29 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 495.0% | — | 495¢ | -395¢ |
| 30 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 495.0% | — | 495¢ | -395¢ |
| 31 | Any Player Penta Kill | 495.0% | — | 495¢ | -395¢ |
| 32 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 495.0% | — | 495¢ | -395¢ |
| 33 | Match Winner | 200.0% | $61.7K | 200¢ | -100¢ |
| 34 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50.0% | — | 50¢ | 50¢ |
| 35 | Game 1 Winner | 5.0% | $73.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 36 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $85.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 37 | Game 4 Winner | 5.0% | $73.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between Meavedron and eSuba in the Hitpoint Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Meavedron" if Meavedron win the match against eSuba.
This market will resolve to "eSuba" if eSuba win the match against Meavedron.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 16, 2026
- 11:16 AMGEgeaaa$96.72
Bought 153.53 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63
- 11:02 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$4.28
Bought 6.793651 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63
- 11:00 AMCLClawbotazleeruiz9$11.34
Bought 18 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63
- 10:46 AMFEFeligu$4.04
Bought 12.618297 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.32
- 10:46 AMFEFeligu$74.00
Bought 117.460318 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63
- 10:33 AMLEleks1r$50.00
Bought 79.365078 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63
- 10:32 AMAPApuh4$3.20
Bought 5.079364 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63
- 10:32 AMAPApuh4$2.85
Bought 5.089286 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba - Game 1 Winner at 0.56
- 10:32 AMNIniromicon$20.66
Sold 33.33 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.62
- 10:25 AM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$246.66
Bought 649.105264 eSuba for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.38
- 10:21 AM——$3.00
Bought 4.761905 Meavedron for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.63
- 09:58 AMMOmoon-k58-lad$2.10
Bought 5 eSuba for LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba - Game 4 Winner at 0.42
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Meavedron vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Game 3 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 Games at 9,995% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 9,505%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $346.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
