LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs

$140.6K Vol
Sep 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Senshi Esports Club 100.0%
mCon esports 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5) follows in second place at 9,995%, while Game 4 Winner sits in third with 5,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $140.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $125 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5) (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5) maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Game 4 Winner (5,050%): Sitting in third place with a 5,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 4 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5)9995.0%$1259995¢-9895¢
2Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5)9995.0%$339995¢-9895¢
3Game 4 Winner5050.0%$475050¢-4950¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Game 1 Winner5.0%$46.8K95¢
35Game 2 Winner5.0%$27.7K95¢
36Game 3 Winner5.0%$43.1K95¢
37Match Winner5.0%$22.5K95¢
38O/U 3.5 Games5.0%$25695¢
39O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$3295¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between mCon esports and Senshi Esports Club in the Road Of Legends Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "mCon esports" if mCon esports win the match against Senshi Esports Club.

This market will resolve to "Senshi Esports Club" if Senshi Esports Club win the match against mCon esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 15, 2026

  • 10:17 AM
    GAGall1048596
    $10.00

    Bought 29.411765 mCon esports for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.34

  • 10:17 AM
    GAGall1048596
    $30.00

    Bought 54.545455 mCon esports for Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) at 0.55

  • 08:41 AM
    MImimi121
    $33.76

    Sold 102.31 mCon esports for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.33

  • 07:42 AM
    GLGlimz
    $25.00

    Bought 37.313433 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.67

  • 07:15 AM
    GEgeaaa
    $201.00

    Bought 300 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.67

  • 03:29 AM
    0X0x3252dE913d9323667f21F4d88fA1F996fC282293-1720383165418
    $4.00

    Bought 5 mCon esports for Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5) at 0.8

Sep 14, 2026

  • 08:19 PM
    SLSLGTHBB
    $1.00

    Bought 2.777778 mCon esports for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.36

  • 08:16 PM
    282855555A48ee7ec2e67272701651BFe77034eBE8
    $37.50

    Bought 56.818182 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.66

  • 08:14 PM
    JZjzr09
    $5.00

    Bought 7.575758 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.66

  • 07:56 PM
    MOmonicabing
    $5.00

    Bought 16.13 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.31

  • 02:01 PM
    AUAuramemnon
    $45.59

    Bought 70.145605 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.65

  • 08:21 AM
    PRprofitlaw
    $2.00

    Bought 3.030302 Senshi Esports Club for LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs at 0.66

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SU1
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
+$1,249.83
Volume
$16,493.08
Positions
Senshi Esports ClubmCon esports
EZ2
ezMerge
Event PnL
+$5.65
Volume
$11,307.28
Positions
Senshi Esports ClubSenshi Esports Club
F23
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
+$2,523.94
Volume
$7,598.43
Positions
Senshi Esports ClubmCon esports
DE4
delacsynzy
Event PnL
-$2,977.73
Volume
$7,598.04
Positions
mCon esportsmCon esports
SK5
skadii
Event PnL
+$1,698.68
Volume
$7,053.13
Positions
Senshi Esports ClubSenshi Esports ClubmCon esports+1
HE6
heatwave0521
Event PnL
+$1,409.42
Volume
$6,846.18
Positions
Senshi Esports ClubSenshi Esports ClubSenshi Esports Club+1
WH7
whatyouknowboutlove
Event PnL
-$1,231.69
Volume
$4,371.15
Positions
mCon esports
IN8
InAirdropWeTrust
Event PnL
+$285.84
Volume
$3,999.90
Positions
Senshi Esports ClubmCon esportsmCon esports+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game Handicap: SEC (-1.5) vs mCon esports (+1.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game Handicap: SEC (-2.5) vs mCon esports (+2.5) at 9,995% and Game 4 Winner at 5,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $140.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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