LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$432.8K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
LYON 77.5%
Cloud9 22.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 1? follows in second place at 9,950%, while Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $432.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $64 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 1? (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 1? maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 3.5 Games (8,850%), Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? (7,750%), and Game 2 Winner (6,650%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 3 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$649950¢-9850¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$309950¢-9850¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$309950¢-9850¢
4O/U 3.5 Games8850.0%$5.7K8850¢-8750¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?7750.0%$307750¢-7650¢
6Game 2 Winner6650.0%$52.8K6650¢-6550¢
7Game 3 Winner6650.0%$3726650¢-6550¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?6400.0%$526400¢-6300¢
9Match Winner6200.0%$205.5K6200¢-6100¢
10Game 4 Winner6150.0%$3216150¢-6050¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5800.0%$515800¢-5700¢
12First Blood in Game 1?5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$515000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$515000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$515000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$515000¢-4900¢
42First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
43First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
44First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5000.0%$505000¢-4900¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
48Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5000.0%$25000¢-4900¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
50O/U 4.5 Games4100.0%$16.5K4100¢-4000¢
51Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)3200.0%$21.0K3200¢-3100¢
52Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?50.0%$4.3K50¢50¢
53Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50.0%$3050¢50¢
54Game 1 Winner5.0%$621.0K95¢
55Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)5.0%$43.1K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between LYON and Cloud9 in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Cloud9.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against LYON.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 11:01 AM
    VIvincetrades
    $2.46

    Bought 6 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 10:55 AM
    ALalexfish888
    $164.00

    Bought 400 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 10:10 AM
    RORomashka156
    $150.00

    Bought 365.853659 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:55 AM
    SISilverLev
    $140.85

    Bought 343.536586 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:48 AM
    AMamaya21
    $168.10

    Bought 410 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:40 AM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $31.68

    Bought 44 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.72

  • 09:27 AM
    NAnaive-child
    $551.87

    Bought 1903 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.29

  • 09:26 AM
    MOMoneyFile
    $603.84

    Bought 888 Cloud9 for Game Handicap: LY (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) at 0.68

  • 09:22 AM
    KAKaiMy
    $3.60

    Bought 5 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.72

  • 09:21 AM
    NAnaive-child
    $904.51

    Bought 3119 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.29

  • 09:14 AM
    KOkosminia
    $225.00

    Bought 548.780488 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

  • 09:12 AM
    KOkosminia
    $225.00

    Bought 548.780488 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.41

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

F21
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
-$18,439.08
Volume
$49,050.58
Positions
LYON
CO2
CoinTrick
Event PnL
+$24.47
Volume
$48,932.40
Positions
Cloud9
B53
0xb552…6141
Event PnL
-$2,671.25
Volume
$34,742.94
Positions
LYON
SO4
sofa88888
Event PnL
+$8,051.91
Volume
$31,048.11
Positions
Cloud9Cloud9Cloud9
SU5
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
-$11,740.07
Volume
$26,266.80
Positions
LYON
VE6
verifly
Event PnL
+$5.80
Volume
$26,209.37
Positions
LYON
TA7
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$3.57
Volume
$25,027.62
Positions
Cloud9
JA8
jaytee158
Event PnL
-$4,886.18
Volume
$24,534.47
Positions
LYON

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: LYON vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 15.5 in Game 1? at 9,950% and Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $432.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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