LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage

$162.9K Vol
Nov 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
LYON 76.5%
LOS 23.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Duration O/U 31:30 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,750% chance of winning. Duration O/U 31:30 follows in second place at 6,600%, while Duration O/U 31:30 sits in third with 6,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $162.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Duration O/U 31:30 (6,750%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Duration O/U 31:30 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,750¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $168 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Duration O/U 31:30 (6,600%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Duration O/U 31:30 maintains a 6,600% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,600¢.
  • Duration O/U 31:30 (6,350%): Sitting in third place with a 6,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Duration O/U 31:30, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (5,550%), Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (5,450%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Duration O/U 31:306750.0%$1686750¢-6650¢
2Duration O/U 31:306600.0%$1686600¢-6500¢
3Duration O/U 31:306350.0%$1686350¢-6250¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5550.0%$575550¢-5450¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5450.0%$4.3K5450¢-5350¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$325000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$325000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
16Any Player Penta Kill4950.0%$324950¢-4850¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
21Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)4550.0%$19.2K4550¢-4450¢
22O/U 2.5 Games4150.0%$10.1K4150¢-4050¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?3800.0%$2123800¢-3700¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?3800.0%$2493800¢-3700¢
25Game 1 Winner3250.0%$1.5K3250¢-3150¢
26Game 2 Winner3150.0%$2.6K3150¢-3050¢
27Match Winner2350.0%$123.6K2350¢-2250¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 5 match between LOS and LYON in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against LYON.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against LOS.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 31, 2026

  • 01:33 PM
    FZfzbfather
    $5.00

    Bought 6.666664 LYON for LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage at 0.75

  • 01:31 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $23.65

    Bought 90.961539 LOS for LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage at 0.26

  • 01:27 PM
    0X0x96f8E4E985756eE5D20CC616a81CfbB3E3eb2560-1760521096719
    $200.00

    Bought 266.666664 LYON for LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage at 0.75

  • 01:27 PM
    RORockychen425
    $30.00

    Bought 40 LYON for LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage at 0.75

  • 01:26 PM
    LILIN123456
    $1.00

    Bought 3.846154 LOS for LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage at 0.26

  • 01:26 PM
    JIJie200
    $2.00

    Bought 7.692308 LOS for LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage at 0.26

  • 01:24 PM
    0X0xa1347f6b122DCB61D7e4f862d5CB05E647Df56fB-1761806656038
    $7.80

    Bought 30 LOS for LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage at 0.26

  • 01:23 PM
    LIlingwu05
    $5.00

    Bought 19.23077 LOS for LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage at 0.26

  • 01:22 PM
    1L1LC-GROWTH-MIXED-HUGE-FUND
    $10.00

    Bought 38.461539 LOS for LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage at 0.26

  • 01:21 PM
    ——
    $1.10

    Bought 2.391305 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5) at 0.46

  • 01:21 PM
    0X0x7C27c1605c144687c0004B72B260e8234ABA7487-1768655547159
    $4.20

    Bought 7.636364 LOS for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5) at 0.55

  • 01:21 PM
    ——
    $1.10

    Bought 2.391305 LYON for Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5) at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

JA1
jakepaulthegoat2008
Event PnL
+$215.36
Volume
$14,344.39
Positions
LYON
LL2
lllllllIlll
Event PnL
+$61.58
Volume
$12,295.84
Positions
LYON
LZ3
lzh1
Event PnL
+$18.40
Volume
$10,499.89
Positions
LOS
NA4
nat08
Event PnL
-$150.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
LOS
HG5
HGJGJPQ8
Event PnL
+$5.00
Volume
$7,615.32
Positions
LYON
696
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$36.34
Volume
$7,267.00
Positions
Under
DU7
duratio12
Event PnL
+$0.52
Volume
$6,861.23
Positions
Over
NE8
neutralwave23
Event PnL
+$32.26
Volume
$6,144.58
Positions
LYON

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Duration O/U 31:30 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,750% win probability, followed by Duration O/U 31:30 at 6,600% and Duration O/U 31:30 at 6,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $162.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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