LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

$612K Vol
Oct 11, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
LOS 72.5%
FURIA Esports 27.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? follows in second place at 9,950%, while Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $612K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $397.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 3.5 Games (7,800%), Match Winner (6,850%), and Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) (5,600%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 3 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$397.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$1899950¢-9850¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$3979950¢-9850¢
4O/U 3.5 Games7800.0%$10.5K7800¢-7700¢
5Match Winner6850.0%$119.4K6850¢-6750¢
6Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)5600.0%$8.5K5600¢-5500¢
7Game 3 Winner5550.0%$4275550¢-5450¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5050.0%$15050¢-4950¢
9Game 4 Winner5000.0%$995000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$2635000¢-4900¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
49Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
50Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
51Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
52First Blood in Game 1?4950.0%$564950¢-4850¢
53Game 2 Winner3750.0%$40.3K3750¢-3650¢
54O/U 4.5 Games3350.0%$32.6K3350¢-3250¢
55Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?2100.0%$102100¢-2000¢
56Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)1900.0%$2.0K1900¢-1800¢
57Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5)50.0%$550¢50¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between LOS and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against FURIA Esports.

This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against LOS.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 10, 2026

  • 01:50 PM
    MKmk3over
    $280.00

    Bought 777.777778 LOS for Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) at 0.36

  • 12:58 PM
    NONothingToAdd
    $2.85

    Bought 5 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.57

  • 11:32 AM
    KAKalp0703
    $2.60

    Bought 5.196079 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 10:45 AM
    G4G4B0
    $15.10

    Bought 23.230768 FURIA Esports for Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) at 0.65

  • 10:40 AM
    GAgaolou
    $10.00

    Bought 17.857143 LOS for LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.56

  • 10:30 AM
    0X0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408
    $3.00

    Bought 10 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.3

  • 10:30 AM
    AMam100
    $47.35

    Bought 157.83 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.3

  • 10:24 AM
    CHchvidi
    $137.74

    Bought 194 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.71

  • 10:08 AM
    SKskadii
    $3.60

    Bought 20 LOS for Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) at 0.18

  • 10:07 AM
    SKskadii
    $63.72

    Bought 118 LOS for LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.54

  • 10:07 AM
    SKskadii
    $83.72

    Bought 161 LOS for LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

  • 10:07 AM
    SKskadii
    $83.72

    Bought 161 LOS for LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

EL1
elenaarybakin21
Event PnL
+$77.38
Volume
$5,158.20
Positions
Over
692
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$52.73
Volume
$4,893.23
Positions
UnderUnder
PL3
pltrkr111
Event PnL
-$48.39
Volume
$3,225.79
Positions
Under
TE4
teardropsaidmyname
Event PnL
+$8.00
Volume
$1,599.94
Positions
LOS
JU5
JuiceFarm
Event PnL
+$41.01
Volume
$1,587.33
Positions
FURIA Esports
GG6
ggvipi
Event PnL
-$37.55
Volume
$1,501.98
Positions
LOS
PU7
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$36.28
Volume
$1,451.10
Positions
FURIA Esports
CU8
cucurella-
Event PnL
+$5.91
Volume
$1,281.95
Positions
LOS

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 9,950% and Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $612K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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