
LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. First Blood in Game 2? follows in second place at 9,945%, while O/U 3.5 Games sits in third with 7,400%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $883.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- First Blood in Game 2? (9,945%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, First Blood in Game 2? maintains a 9,945% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,945¢.
- O/U 3.5 Games (7,400%): Sitting in third place with a 7,400% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 3.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? (5,250%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 9995.0% | — | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | First Blood in Game 2? | 9945.0% | $18 | 9945¢ | -9845¢ |
| 3 | O/U 3.5 Games | 7400.0% | $4.1K | 7400¢ | -7300¢ |
| 4 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5000.0% | $40 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | First Blood in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | First Blood in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | $4 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | $128 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? | 5000.0% | $1 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | $82 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 45 | Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 46 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 47 | Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 48 | Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5) | 4750.0% | $3.6K | 4750¢ | -4650¢ |
| 49 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 4600.0% | — | 4600¢ | -4500¢ |
| 50 | Game 3 Winner | 4550.0% | $387 | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 51 | Game 4 Winner | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 52 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 4550.0% | — | 4550¢ | -4450¢ |
| 53 | O/U 4.5 Games | 3900.0% | $1.3K | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 54 | Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) | 3900.0% | $3.0K | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 55 | Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) | 3900.0% | $2.1K | 3900¢ | -3800¢ |
| 56 | Match Winner | 1850.0% | $311.8K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
| 57 | Game 2 Winner | 1500.0% | $207.6K | 1500¢ | -1400¢ |
| 58 | Game 1 Winner | 5.0% | $348.7K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 59 | Game Handicap: LLL (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5) | 5.0% | $620 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between LOUD and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against FURIA Esports.
This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against LOUD.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 3, 2026
- 12:48 PMDAdavigrulke$2.00
Bought 5.128206 FURIA Esports for Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) at 0.39
- 12:42 PMYUYukihiranokoX$9.27
Bought 23.769231 FURIA Esports for Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) at 0.39
- 10:45 AMKUkuwapt$3.64
Bought 8.878049 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41
- 10:45 AMCOcompoundingbrother$25.56
Bought 42.6 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.6
- 10:45 AMMNmnogonado$544.48
Bought 1328 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41
- 10:44 AMOKoknah$4.68
Bought 12 FURIA Esports for Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) at 0.39
- 10:43 AMKUkuwapt$3.89
Bought 9.487805 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41
- 10:43 AMMIMinne2507$100.06
Bought 166.766667 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.6
- 10:40 AMSUsuntori$117.14
Bought 212.981817 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.55
- 10:37 AMKUkuwapt$5.07
Bought 12.365854 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41
- 10:37 AMMImit120$5.00
Bought 8.33 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.6
- 10:22 AMLUludikgg$14.51
Bought 35.390244 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by First Blood in Game 2? at 9,945% and O/U 3.5 Games at 7,400%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $883.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
