LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs

$883.4K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
FURIA Esports 74.5%
LOUD 25.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. First Blood in Game 2? follows in second place at 9,945%, while O/U 3.5 Games sits in third with 7,400%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $883.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • First Blood in Game 2? (9,945%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, First Blood in Game 2? maintains a 9,945% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,945¢.
  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,400%): Sitting in third place with a 7,400% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 3.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? (5,250%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2First Blood in Game 2?9945.0%$189945¢-9845¢
3O/U 3.5 Games7400.0%$4.1K7400¢-7300¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%$405000¢-4900¢
35First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5000.0%$45000¢-4900¢
38Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$1285000¢-4900¢
39Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5000.0%$15000¢-4900¢
40Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5000.0%$825000¢-4900¢
41Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
48Game Handicap: FUR (-2.5) vs LOUD (+2.5)4750.0%$3.6K4750¢-4650¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?4600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
50Game 3 Winner4550.0%$3874550¢-4450¢
51Game 4 Winner4550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
52Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?4550.0%—4550¢-4450¢
53O/U 4.5 Games3900.0%$1.3K3900¢-3800¢
54Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5)3900.0%$3.0K3900¢-3800¢
55Game Handicap: LLL (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)3900.0%$2.1K3900¢-3800¢
56Match Winner1850.0%$311.8K1850¢-1750¢
57Game 2 Winner1500.0%$207.6K1500¢-1400¢
58Game 1 Winner5.0%$348.7K5¢95¢
59Game Handicap: LLL (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)5.0%$6205¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between LOUD and FURIA Esports in the CBLOL Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against FURIA Esports.

This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win the match against LOUD.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 3, 2026

  • 12:48 PM
    DAdavigrulke
    $2.00

    Bought 5.128206 FURIA Esports for Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) at 0.39

  • 12:42 PM
    YUYukihiranokoX
    $9.27

    Bought 23.769231 FURIA Esports for Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) at 0.39

  • 10:45 AM
    KUkuwapt
    $3.64

    Bought 8.878049 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41

  • 10:45 AM
    COcompoundingbrother
    $25.56

    Bought 42.6 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.6

  • 10:45 AM
    MNmnogonado
    $544.48

    Bought 1328 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41

  • 10:44 AM
    OKoknah
    $4.68

    Bought 12 FURIA Esports for Game Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs LOUD (+1.5) at 0.39

  • 10:43 AM
    KUkuwapt
    $3.89

    Bought 9.487805 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41

  • 10:43 AM
    MIMinne2507
    $100.06

    Bought 166.766667 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.6

  • 10:40 AM
    SUsuntori
    $117.14

    Bought 212.981817 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.55

  • 10:37 AM
    KUkuwapt
    $5.07

    Bought 12.365854 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41

  • 10:37 AM
    MImit120
    $5.00

    Bought 8.33 FURIA Esports for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.6

  • 10:22 AM
    LUludikgg
    $14.51

    Bought 35.390244 LOUD for LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs at 0.41

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

BR1
BrotherObama
Event PnL
+$243.41
Volume
$147,574.12
Positions
LOUD
2C2
0x2c33…5465
Event PnL
-$200.00
Volume
$40,000.00
Positions
FURIA Esports
TA3
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$86.69
Volume
$30,334.94
Positions
FURIA EsportsFURIA Esports
AR4
ArturitoFilito
Event PnL
+$127.78
Volume
$25,555.00
Positions
FURIA Esports
SI5
SineNooneEI
Event PnL
-$74.55
Volume
$14,999.90
Positions
FURIA Esports
FO6
FORTNITEMASTER888
Event PnL
+$70.23
Volume
$13,969.57
Positions
LOUD
JI7
jizzbucket57
Event PnL
-$61.00
Volume
$12,200.00
Positions
FURIA Esports
KI8
kingflop
Event PnL
+$50.52
Volume
$10,104.41
Positions
FURIA Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: LOUD vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by First Blood in Game 2? at 9,945% and O/U 3.5 Games at 7,400%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $883.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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