LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$246.3K Vol
Oct 4, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
BNK FEARX 83.5%
LGD Gaming 16.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,350% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? follows in second place at 6,100%, while Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) sits in third with 5,850%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $246.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (6,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $908 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? (6,100%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? maintains a 6,100% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,100¢.
  • Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) (5,850%): Sitting in third place with a 5,850% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5), treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?6350.0%$9086350¢-6250¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?6100.0%$146100¢-6000¢
3Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)5850.0%$4.4K5850¢-5750¢
4Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$115000¢-4900¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28O/U 2.5 Games4400.0%$1.6K4400¢-4300¢
29Game 2 Winner4050.0%$1.0K4050¢-3950¢
30First Blood in Game 1?2500.0%—2500¢-2400¢
31Match Winner2000.0%$204.1K2000¢-1900¢
32Game 1 Winner550.0%$34.2K550¢-450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between LGD Gaming and BNK FEARX in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against LGD Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 4, 2026

  • 01:19 AM
    0X0x6e5Bc791e132Cc7D4e01154AB3b8287C2C5144a5-1767747604417
    $100.00

    Bought 175.438597 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 01:18 AM
    NInigiri99
    $18.24

    Bought 38 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.48

  • 01:17 AM
    ——
    $5.00

    Bought 11.363637 LGD Gaming for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.44

  • 01:13 AM
    0X0x2Ba2AA4DE674376Bd540B8Cecfd0E4aa4977327D-1788199685015
    $2.85

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:07 AM
    DHdhamp
    $9.69

    Bought 17 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 01:05 AM
    THthb9037
    $5.70

    Bought 10 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:02 AM
    MAMastergreen
    $20.10

    Bought 35.263158 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:01 AM
    0X0x6891B1Bf1A8AD4cb9389Aa5FDD138708F4bD9d28-1782697495689
    $10.00

    Bought 17.54386 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 01:01 AM
    JZjzr09
    $2.00

    Bought 2.857143 LGD Gaming for Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) at 0.7

  • 01:00 AM
    JTJtiz
    $2.85

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 12:58 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2.85

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.57

  • 12:58 AM
    FRfrieren67
    $44.00

    Bought 100 LGD Gaming for LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.44

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

SU1
suntori
Event PnL
-$80.72
Volume
$15,194.27
Positions
BNK FEARXLGD Gaming
DR2
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$75.00
Volume
$14,999.94
Positions
LGD Gaming
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
+$63.36
Volume
$10,215.75
Positions
LGD Gaming
AR4
arrombabets
Event PnL
-$32.06
Volume
$2,598.12
Positions
BNK FEARX
FB5
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$30.93
Volume
$2,062.12
Positions
LGD Gaming
DE6
delacsynzy1
Event PnL
+$8.28
Volume
$1,655.18
Positions
BNK FEARX
MK7
mk3over
Event PnL
-$6.58
Volume
$1,315.79
Positions
BNK FEARX
IC8
IcaroRaph
Event PnL
+$6.00
Volume
$1,200.32
Positions
BNK FEARX

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: LGD Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,350% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? at 6,100% and Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) at 5,850%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $246.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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