LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs

$297K Vol
Sep 24, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Veni Vidi Vici 53.0%
Kawaii Kiwis 47.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. Odd/Even Total Kills follows in second place at 9,950%, while Odd/Even Total Kills sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $297K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $133.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Odd/Even Total Kills maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Odd/Even Total Kills, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 3 Winner (9,945%), O/U 3.5 Games (8,580%), and O/U 4.5 Games (7,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Match Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9950.0%$133.6K9950¢-9850¢
2Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%$669950¢-9850¢
3Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%$669950¢-9850¢
4Game 3 Winner9945.0%$81.2K9945¢-9845¢
5O/U 3.5 Games8580.0%$6388580¢-8480¢
6O/U 4.5 Games7550.0%$1217550¢-7450¢
7Match Winner5250.0%$34.8K5250¢-5150¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$665000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$665000¢-4900¢
32Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%$664950¢-4850¢
33Game Handicap: VVV (-1.5) vs Kawaii Kiwis (+1.5)4900.0%$104900¢-4800¢
34Game 4 Winner2450.0%$11.4K2450¢-2350¢
35Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
36Both Teams Slay a Dragon950.0%950¢-850¢
37Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
38Game 1 Winner5.0%$35.0K95¢
39Game Handicap: VVV (-2.5) vs Kawaii Kiwis (+2.5)5.0%$2095¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Kawaii Kiwis and Veni Vidi Vici in the LES Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Kawaii Kiwis" if Kawaii Kiwis win the match against Veni Vidi Vici.

This market will resolve to "Veni Vidi Vici" if Veni Vidi Vici win the match against Kawaii Kiwis.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 23, 2026

  • 11:34 AM
    WIwinnersun
    $12.32

    Bought 28 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:33 AM
    0X0x4024B966496829A55C5501F032003435DdAFB865-1775741718881
    $9.00

    Bought 20.454546 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.44

  • 11:32 AM
    $4.01

    Sold 8.92 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 2 Winner at 0.45

  • 11:31 AM
    $4.91

    Bought 8.927273 Veni Vidi Vici for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 2 Winner at 0.55

  • 11:02 AM
    $3.92

    Bought 8 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici - Game 2 Winner at 0.49

  • 10:54 AM
    TItinashi1199zz
    $4.76

    Bought 10.818182 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.44

  • 10:37 AM
    4T4TheWin2
    $4.20

    Bought 10 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.42

  • 10:37 AM
    AIAIluka
    $5.90

    Bought 10 Veni Vidi Vici for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.59

  • 10:37 AM
    AIAIluka
    $161.93

    Bought 279.19 Veni Vidi Vici for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.58

  • 10:37 AM
    $16.17

    Bought 27.881865 Veni Vidi Vici for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.58

  • 10:36 AM
    DPdpmo
    $2.00

    Bought 4.545455 Kawaii Kiwis for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.44

  • 10:33 AM
    0X0x8cb9c
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 Veni Vidi Vici for LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs at 0.59

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

EX1
ExpaVertex
Event PnL
-$159.06
Volume
$14,460.00
Positions
Kawaii Kiwis
F22
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
+$1,028.34
Volume
$12,478.53
Positions
Kawaii KiwisVeni Vidi ViciKawaii Kiwis
AO3
aomendushen008
Event PnL
-$1,963.39
Volume
$10,786.59
Positions
Veni Vidi ViciKawaii Kiwis
FF4
0xffAa…5341
Event PnL
-$419.66
Volume
$9,344.12
Positions
Kawaii KiwisKawaii KiwisVeni Vidi Vici
CH5
chenyufei
Event PnL
-$3,250.44
Volume
$8,919.28
Positions
Veni Vidi Vici
LE6
LewLewZZ
Event PnL
-$54.05
Volume
$6,873.04
Positions
Kawaii KiwisKawaii Kiwis
SU7
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
+$3,181.21
Volume
$6,810.75
Positions
Kawaii Kiwis
AG8
agent2
Event PnL
-$2,070.49
Volume
$6,722.30
Positions
Veni Vidi ViciKawaii Kiwis

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by Odd/Even Total Kills at 9,950% and Odd/Even Total Kills at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $297K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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