LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

$106.9K Vol
Sep 28, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Galions 51.5%
KT Rolster Challengers 48.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,150% chance of winning. Any Player Penta Kill follows in second place at 5,200%, while Match Winner sits in third with 5,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $106.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $354 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Any Player Penta Kill maintains a 5,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,200¢.
  • Match Winner (5,150%): Sitting in third place with a 5,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Odd/Even Total Kills (5,150%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,100%), and Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7150.0%$3547150¢-7050¢
2Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
3Match Winner5150.0%$52.6K5150¢-5050¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
32Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
33First Blood in Game 2?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
34Game 4 Winner4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
35Game 2 Winner4700.0%$12.5K4700¢-4600¢
36Game 1 Winner4650.0%$16.3K4650¢-4550¢
37Game 3 Winner4550.0%$14.2K4550¢-4450¢
38O/U 4.5 Games3450.0%—3450¢-3350¢
39Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)3300.0%—3300¢-3200¢
40Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)3200.0%$11.0K3200¢-3100¢
41Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
42Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
43Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
44Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+2.5)1500.0%—1500¢-1400¢
45Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Galions (+2.5)1400.0%$51400¢-1300¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between KT Rolster Challengers and Galions in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against Galions.

This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against KT Rolster Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 12, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 11:12 AM
    DRdrex0o
    $60.00

    Bought 95.238094 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.63

  • 10:27 AM
    ARarbitro1
    $12.63

    Bought 20.047618 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.63

  • 09:42 AM
    0X0x294b241F8b97845803FE34a9B99629E07cd422d2-1778884232768
    $50.30

    Bought 132.368422 Galions for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.38

  • 09:42 AM
    DAdancingmonkey1
    $74.00

    Bought 200 Galions for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.37

  • 09:33 AM
    AVAveragebrazilian
    $104.71

    Bought 283 Galions for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.37

  • 09:05 AM
    ALalways-give-up
    $0.32

    Bought 0.54 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.59

  • 09:02 AM
    GOGOLDCRYPT12
    $16.52

    Bought 28 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.59

  • 09:00 AM
    PHphoebebuffay
    $3.30

    Bought 10 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.33

  • 08:48 AM
    BABaosen0412
    $6.30

    Bought 10 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.63

  • 08:42 AM
    MPmpyh
    $7.40

    Bought 20 Galions for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.37

  • 08:41 AM
    CUcute2212
    $62.10

    Bought 95.538462 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.65

  • 08:40 AM
    CUcute2212
    $65.98

    Bought 103.093537 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.64

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$653.78
Volume
$31,920.24
Positions
GalionsGalionsGalions+2
GO2
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$252.09
Volume
$14,620.12
Positions
GalionsGalionsGalions+3
GO3
GOLDCRYPT12
Event PnL
+$599.37
Volume
$13,480.17
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers+3
CS4
csgamer11
Event PnL
-$182.29
Volume
$11,992.60
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers+2
NO5
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$118.55
Volume
$9,157.95
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers+2
A36
0xa3B5…0736
Event PnL
+$8.79
Volume
$5,495.50
Positions
GalionsGalionsGalions+1
PA7
Parkan312
Event PnL
+$232.05
Volume
$4,613.88
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers
DE8
demo258
Event PnL
+$30.30
Volume
$3,587.24
Positions
KT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster ChallengersKT Rolster Challengers+2

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,150% win probability, followed by Any Player Penta Kill at 5,200% and Match Winner at 5,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $106.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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