
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 9,575%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $460.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $149.8K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
- Match Winner (9,575%): Sitting in third place with a 9,575% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5) (7,100%), Game 3 Winner (6,550%), and Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5) (6,550%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 4 Winner are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game 1 Winner | 9995.0% | $149.8K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 2 | Game 2 Winner | 9995.0% | $187.5K | 9995¢ | -9895¢ |
| 3 | Match Winner | 9575.0% | $75.3K | 9575¢ | -9475¢ |
| 4 | Game Handicap: KT.C (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5) | 7100.0% | $17.5K | 7100¢ | -7000¢ |
| 5 | Game 3 Winner | 6550.0% | $20.3K | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 6 | Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5) | 6550.0% | $1.7K | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 7 | Game 4 Winner | 5650.0% | $1.5K | 5650¢ | -5550¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | $53 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $8 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | $53 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $8 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | $53 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $8 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | $53 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $8 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | $53 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | $8 | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | O/U 3.5 Games | 3300.0% | $7.7K | 3300¢ | -3200¢ |
| 39 | O/U 4.5 Games | 1200.0% | $283 | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between KT Rolster Challengers and Kiwoom DRX Challengers in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "KT Rolster Challengers" if KT Rolster Challengers win the match against Kiwoom DRX Challengers.
This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX Challengers" if Kiwoom DRX Challengers win the match against KT Rolster Challengers.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 31, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Aug 30, 2026
- 08:51 PMLALaughingBuddhaa$120.00
Bought 500 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.24
- 08:17 PMSUsuntori$7.76
Bought 11.085713 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5) at 0.7
- 07:33 PMSUsuntori$7.12
Sold 10.32 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5) at 0.69
- 07:04 PMSUsuntori$7.23
Bought 10.32857 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5) at 0.7
- 06:33 PMZLzlz123456$1.00
Bought 3.225805 KT Rolster Challengers for Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5) at 0.31
- 06:32 PMZLzlz123456$9.00
Bought 29.032257 KT Rolster Challengers for Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5) at 0.31
- 06:32 PMZLzlz123456$60.00
Bought 193.548386 KT Rolster Challengers for Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5) at 0.31
- 06:28 PMJWjwocky$3.05
Bought 5 KT Rolster Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winner at 0.61
- 05:38 PM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$397.67
Sold 1728.98 Kiwoom DRX Challengers for LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.23
- 05:02 PMAGAGBetsCo$8.65
Bought 27.903224 KT Rolster Challengers for Game Handicap: KT.C (-2.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+2.5) at 0.31
- 05:02 PMAGAGBetsCo$34.85
Bought 49.08 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.71
- 05:02 PMAGAGBetsCo$48.90
Bought 139.714284 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.35
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 9,995% and Match Winner at 9,575%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $460.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
